• Near market bottoms, specific indicators or patterns emerge 1.
• The current market downturn is distinct from the “crash” observed in ‘21-‘22 13.

• Willy Woo opined in December that October marked the start of the bear market 引用[1].
• US job openings hit recession levels in December, dropping -386,000 to 6.5 million, the lowest since September 2020.

• $S&P 500 correlation is breaking down; many names pushing new highs while others sink to new lows. This divergence, last observed in September 2000, serves as a market warning 引用[1].

• Median stocks are quietly reaching new multi-year highs. 1
• Historical $SPX seasonality from February into March shows a “Dip” in most years (2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2025), with exceptions in 2019 and 2024. [4](https://x.

• The market breadth is stunning: NYSE recorded more new 52-week highs than any point since 2024, the NYSE Advance-Decline Line hit an all-time high, and both Dow Jones Industrial Avg and equally weighted S&P500 closed at fresh record highs. [4](https://x.

• Embrace market fear from signals like “Hindenburg Omen” or “Death crosses”; this widespread anxiety often flags a bull signal 1
• Avoid shorting 2

• NVDA is catching up from market mispricing; other tech giants’ CapEx benefits finally rewarded with an 8% surge, nearing $185. The broader semiconductor sector, via SMH, jumped 5%. 2

• Bitcoin ($BTC) faces a significant test at $75,000. 1
• Bitcoin ($BTC) is nearing a personal price target of $75,000, which would represent a massive 25% surge from the lows in a single day. [4](https://x.

• Market volatility is extreme beneath the surface. Average S&P 500 stock volatility is 7x higher than the index itself. This ratio has doubled in 2 weeks since 2022. 1

• $NVDA is leading the 2026 charge, fueled by massive CapEx commitments: $AMZN ($200B), $GOOGL ($180B), $META ($125B), $MSFT ($118B). 引用[1]
• $AMZN’s ad unit alone commands a ~$450B valuation, priced at ~15x EBITDA.