• $SPY bounced hard, wiping out the last 2.5 days of selling. Key resistance at $643 hold needed, followed by $652 then $670. 引用[1]
• $SPX closed March down 5.05%, worst month since last March.

• The lows for the year aren’t in yet. Anticipate at least a -15% peak-to-trough move this year, which conveniently targets the 6,000 area. 1

• Four consecutive weeks of gold ETF outflows mark one of the best opportunities to add gold at historically oversold levels. This is a clear bottoming process in play. 1
• Diesel prices at $5.45 a gallon are the real economic threat.

• Nvidia has evolved beyond a single stock; it is effectively the AI semiconductor ETF of the current cycle 11.

• Energy decoupling from the Middle East will be more violent and permanent than the supply chain shift from China. This fundamental shift will redraw global capital maps. 1

• Risk appetite is cratering. The ratio of leveraged long to short ETF volume has hit 1.1, the lowest since the April 2025 “Liberation Day” bottom. Trading activity in leveraged shorts is now effectively at parity with longs. 4

• Potential bullish divergence forming. NYMO hit oversold territory last week while NAMO lags. Indices closed red to extend the selloff, but internal breadth suggests a potential reversal. 1
• $SPY eyes $645 by Wednesday.

• $SPY at the $628 level officially triggers a 10% technical correction. This is standard market behavior, typically occurring every 12-18 months. 19

• $AVGO valuation is back near tariff-war lows, offering a potential entry point for value seekers. 1

• Market extreme panic is here—the Fear & Greed Index just plunged into single digits, signaling a massive sentiment washout. 25
• Stop obsessing over the perfect entry; the biggest gainers rarely come from buying the exact bottom tick.