🚀 Tech & AI Industry Shifts

  • AI will overhaul the software sector; expect significant churn with current popular stocks seeing losses, but new winners will emerge 4.
  • Meta scales back internal ASIC (MTIA) plans, instead shifting to AMD’s MI455X purchases 17.

📊 Market Outlook & Trading Strategy

  • Buying quality stocks at the 40-month moving average consistently beats the S&P 500 and most fund managers, despite investor reluctance during market chaos 7.
  • Current market pullback is minor; loosen stop losses to avoid premature exits before the market bounces 19.
  • Policy-driven selling, though seemingly fear-inducing, often presents a buying opportunity 13.
  • Sector earnings momentum favors consumer and commodity sectors this year; financials, healthcare, and communication services lag 25.
  • Homebuilders represent the strongest sector on current watchlists 23.
  • Ray Dalio’s “Principles: Navigating Big Debt Crises” is essential for understanding historical cycles and predicting future market trends, as history reveals cyclical patterns rather than random events 11.

📈 Specific Stock & Crypto Analysis

  • $TSLA faces scrutiny due to rumors of Elon’s potential Ryanair acquisition, drawing parallels to his Twitter purchase and its negative impact on Tesla stock during the 2022 broad market bear 1.
  • $BTC hits heavy resistance at $98k, trading below the $94k breakout point. Recapturing these levels is crucial for a $100k test. A break below $88k-$90k confirms a bear flag 2.
  • Capitalwatch targets Applovin for a short, citing ties to Chen Zhi and its explosive growth of 70x since 2023 to a $190 billion market cap as an AI+ad tech giant 6.
  • $MSFT needs to bounce off prior highs, which are now acting as support 10.
  • $AAPL at $251 overnight; a dip below $250 signals a buy 16.
  • $CRWV saw a false breakdown last week, a powerful setup. Look for buyers to step in around 86–87 20.

⚖️ Market Regulation & Ethics

  • A prominent influencer on Xueqiu (Chinese platform) was fined 80 million for “pump & dump” schemes, underscoring the critical importance of legal and compliance in investment, especially warning against charging for “small cap stock recommendations” 22.