🚀 Tech Sector Insights

  • NVIDIA’s Rubin chip faces a 4–6 week delay. Root causes are CoWoS packaging and SerDes chip interface issues, impacting roughly 20,000 units 1.
  • $SKYT (SkyWater) defies the market sell-off. The stock logged a new 52-week high, sustaining a powerful uptrend 2.

📊 Market Strategy & Indicators

  • $VIX likely opens above 20. Expect a chart gap; these gaps always fill eventually 3.
  • Buy hedges cheap. Remember this advice during the next market bounce 4.
  • Compound put-call metric shows extreme reading. In 2024/2025, this preceded larger corrections, unlike 2021’s OpEx blip 5.
  • Natural Gas surged +27% today. Historical spikes of this magnitude saw prices lower 3 days later 6.
  • 1% gaps down to open: Rare events, occurring less than 1% of trading days. They resolve higher 75% of the time, averaging a +1.20% open-to-high intraday move. SPY 0DTE at $2.75 historically reached an average high of $8.00 (~300%) 7.

💼 Personal Investment Insights

  • Portfolio held up well. My defense-heavy, lower-Beta portfolio saw a 1.8% decline against the S&P 500’s 1.3% drop. Planning to re-add RKLB, having previously trimmed at $80, $90, $99, but it’s surprisingly up today 8.

🌍 Geopolitical & Economic Shifts

  • Danish pension fund exits US Treasuries: Akademiker Pension ($25 billion fund, $100 million in US Treasuries) withdrawal is Europe’s “strong counterattack.” This signals a re-evaluation of US creditworthiness 9.