A brief flush lower for $SPX is likely near its 20-week moving average, aligning with mid-year seasonality 1.
$AAPL, $MSFT, $NVDA recently approached bear market territory (a -20% ATH peak-to-trough move) at their lows 17. Notably, $AAPL recorded one of its lowest daily RSI values in its 41-year history 30.
Post-market, $NFLX is trading 26% below its 200-day SMA, a rare event (only 3 occurrences since GFC in 2011, 2018, 2022) historically signaling buying opportunities 5. This parallels $META’s period of extreme investor disfavor; a $70 correction could present a generational buying level 10.
$TSLA often moves independently, decoupling from broader market trends 11.
Central banks, exemplified by Poland’s 150-ton purchase, are aggressively accumulating gold, representing 15% of the annual 1000-ton average (for 2023-2025). This underpins a long-term bullish thesis driven by deglobalization and persistent fiscal expansion 9.
Gold and silver face short-term retracement risk due to February options expiry, potential call unwinds, rising 10-year yields, and an extremely low Gold/Silver ratio; buying opportunities are anticipated next week 27. Gold and silver are already diverging as predicted, with silver’s exchange rate showing historical strength at current levels 16.
Current restrictive rates are stifling growth. A 100bps rate cut could push U.S. economic growth to 6% or more, indicating an intent to run the economy hot 28.
The Supreme Court’s repeated delays in the Trump tariff case, especially amidst the Greenland tariff dispute, are a strategic move to prevent market disruption; procrastination is the preferred tactic 15, 25.
A new global era, distinct from the Cold War, is anticipated post-2026, defined by complex struggles involving realism, AI, wealth inequality, and G2 dynamics 18.
Skepticism surrounds SK Hynix’s reported server DDR5 OPM of 70%, with projections reaching 90% in H1. This extremely high operating profit margin seems implausible 26.