🌍 Geopolitical Risks & Market Impact

  • The Danish pension fund AkademikerPension is dumping US Treasuries, citing escalating “credit risk” and unsustainable US finances under Trump due to fiscal indiscipline and a softer Dollar. 引用[4]
  • The 10Y Note Yield spiked to 4.30% amid heightened US-EU trade tensions, signaling a repeat of the April 2025 “tariff playbook” scenario. 引用[10]
  • Nasdaq Composite fell -2%, hitting fresh lows, as President Trump stood firm on new EU tariffs. 引用[14]
  • Acquiring Greenland and Venezuela implies a massive expansion of US land control by 1.2 million square miles, 42% larger than the Louisiana Purchase. Greenland alone adds 22% to US landmass, with Venezuela contributing another 10%. 引用[12], 引用[13]
  • Greenland holds an estimated 1.5 million metric tons of rare earth reserves, ranking 8th globally. Its virtually zero production in 2025 suggests untapped strategic potential. 引用[16]

💰 Macro & Asset Allocation

  • US Dollar movements are paramount. Hard assets are surging, validating the shift into real assets. The dollar’s path will drive powerful ripple effects. 引用[15]
  • Gold’s record highs confirm a monetary realignment in progress. China’s Treasury holdings are at 18-year lows, juxtaposed with its gold reserves at all-time highs. 引用[27]
  • Gold futures breached $4,800/oz. The $5,000 mark is a short-term target, potentially by Friday. 引用[24]

📈 Currency & Fixed Income Trends

  • Japanese government bond demand has cratered. Insurers sold -$5.2 billion in 10+ year maturity bonds in December, marking the largest monthly sale since 2004 and the longest consecutive selling streak at 5 months. 引用[25]
  • Hedge funds are aggressively shorting the Japanese yen. Leveraged funds added +35,624 net short contracts by January 13th, the largest weekly increase since May 2015 and the first rise in bearish positioning in 5 weeks. 引用[22]