📈 Market Technicals & Trading Strategy

  • $SPY breaking yesterday’s lows premarket while $VIX fails to break yesterday’s highs is a divergence worth watching. This could be a key clue for today’s market direction 引用[1].
  • A retest of the 50dma could send $SPY to $681.11 and $QQQ to $615.95 引用[2].
  • On VIX expiration day, don’t chase news. Expect a bounce in the first 30-60 minutes 引用[3].

💡 Sector & Stock Specific Insights

  • Lemonade ($LMND) is shaking up auto insurance. Due to Tesla FSD 14.2 being 2x safer than human driving, $LMND will halve insurance premiums for FSD-driven miles. This Version 1.0 launches Jan 26 in Arizona, then February in Oregon. This is a clear disruptor for the AI era in insurance 引用[4].
  • $INTC is rallying over 7% ahead of earnings. Its foundry ambition is paramount for the U.S. to de-risk chip supply, lessening dependence on overseas fabs like $TSM 引用[5].
  • Small Caps (Russell 2000) are showing massive strength, outperforming Large Caps (S&P 500) for 13 straight days. Small Caps are on fire 🔥 引用[6].

💰 Investment Philosophy & Macro Trends

  • For retirement, self-directed investment beats government social security. Long-term dollar-cost averaging into the U.S. S&P index from early career can easily accumulate over $1 million by retirement in North America 引用[7].
  • The U.S. is pivoting to heavy nuclear energy investment, recognizing significant safety strides. This signals a future where price floors meet structural supply deficits, creating unique market dynamics 引用[8].
  • Screening $500B+ market cap companies by lowest forward multiples doesn’t guarantee easy gains; simply buying the top 5 can be misleading 引用[9].
  • Trump’s presence at Davos is perceived by some as a stabilizing force for the U.S. stock market 引用[10].