📈 Market Dynamics & Outlook

  • The S&P 500 surged +1% after EU tariffs were canceled, validating the effectiveness of the “tariff playbook” 1.
  • Gold and silver prices plunged following the 10% EU tariff cancellation, underscoring high market volatility and trading opportunities 2.
  • This market environment is proving historically profitable, with the S&P 500 extending gains to +1.5%, signaling systematic investing is winning 3.
  • $SPX / $SPY are bouncing off the 20-week moving average, indicating a long-term uptrend but with a short-term neutral to down phase that could extend into March 4.

🔮 Geopolitical & Market Predictions

  • A mere 10bps drop in equities during Trump’s 4th year is likely to trigger a significant political reaction 5.

⚙️ Investment & Trading Strategies

  • Selling straddles/strangles (