📈 Market Outlook & Macro

  • $AMD and $INTC decoupled from broader market weakness, signaling sector-specific tailwinds. 10
  • Fade today’s gap up in $SPY and $QQQ for an intraday gap fill attempt. 14
  • Burry’s Substack hiking prices from $39/month to $49/month flags a recession indicator. 16
  • Recent volatility stemming from Trump reaffirms the 2026 market thesis: can the strong multi-year US equity rally persist with controlled risk? 18
  • US equities consistently hit new highs, reflecting a decades-long secular bull market. Skeptics should back their bearish conviction with short positions. 23

💻 Tech & AI Deep Dive

  • $ASML’s DUV upside remains underpriced by the market. 4
  • $LMND securing endorsement and partnership from $TSLA and Elon marks a significant catalyst for the small-cap. 11
  • The $TSLA-$LMND partnership for FSD is a strategic imperative for market validation. Absent third-party buy-in (traditional automakers, insurers, and even Tesla owners with low subscription rates), FSD struggles to scale monetization. 12
  • A hypothetical Apple HomePad (HomePod+iPad) requires a Siri overhaul; otherwise, it risks being an expensive, speaker-equipped alarm clock. 19
  • $MSFT CEO Satya Nadella posits the end of software applications as the primary value layer. In an agentic paradigm, apps commoditize into passive databases, with AI agents becoming the business and intelligence hubs. 20
  • $GOOGL Gemini’s GenAI web traffic surged from 6% to 22% within a year, while ChatGPT’s share fell from 87% to 65%, indicating significant competitive shifts. 30

🧠 Behavioral Economics

  • Investor decisions are frequently emotion-driven, leading to repeated errors on the same stock. 24