📉 Market Strategy & Predictions

$TSLA Breakout Strategy: focuses on clear patterns and reclaiming the 21EMA after consolidation. 1
$META faces a battle between its Head and Shoulders technical pattern and its MOAT. 3
Dollar’s significant decline is underestimated; a decisive break of 15-year support looms, fueling the hard-asset bull case. 5
Options volatility traders are operating a business, not gambling; even in crypto’s sideways market, this business remains viable. 12
Silver surged to $98.50/oz, up +38% this month; anticipate $100/oz silver and $5,000/oz gold as imminent. 13

💡 Semiconductor Sector Insights

$INTC ER signals semi is crowded long; expect cascading selloffs in other semi names or long semi/short software unwind, creating a BTD opportunity. 2
The valuation of $INTC being more expensive than $TSMC is illogical. 9
Managing a world-class foundry, with its intricate supply, inventory, lead times, and capital requirements, is inherently complex. 10
$INTC’s 12% post-earnings drop is a market “getting ahead of itself” reaction, not indicative of a collapsing business. 11

AGI is impossible due to the irreplicability of the human brain; future rollouts will likely be random chatbots rebranded as AGI. 4
The $LMND and Tesla partnership, specifically half-price FSD insurance, will become Elon Musk’s key weapon against FSD safety skepticism. 6
Key questions for humanoid robotics: identifying the bottleneck player and the feasibility of excluding China’s “red” supply chain. 7
$MSFT CEO Satya Nadella suggests software applications are ceasing to be the primary value layer, implying a shift towards an agentic world. 8

Geopolitical predictions regarding military action: initial assessment on January 13th suggested action was unlikely without carrier deployment; updated view on January 22nd indicates the optimal timing has passed, even with deployment, awaiting better opportunities. 14