💡 AI & Technology Insights

  • $NVDA CEO’s China visit highlights strong, persistent AI demand, despite regulatory hurdles over the H200 chip 引用4.
  • Elon Musk forecasts space as the most cost-effective location for AI compute within two to three years, integrating orbital compute into the space economy 引用7.
  • Energy is the bottleneck for AI. Morgan Stanley predicts a 44 GW U.S. power shortfall by 2028. Nuclear solutions like $SMR and $UUUU are key 引用9.
  • Bernstein anticipates a massive copper shortage by 2027, coinciding with AI infrastructure scaling. AI’s electricity demand, and thus copper dependency (a single $NVDA Blackwell rack pulls ~130 kilowatts), drives this 引用16.
  • The future of work in an agentic AI world sees agents as workers, and “systems of record” evolving into managers, dictating permissions and ensuring control 引用18.

🌍 Macro & Geopolitics Deep Dive

  • Rick Rieder’s probability of becoming Fed Chair surged to 54% (from 4% YTD) on Polymarket, outpacing Warrsch (31%), following Trump’s endorsement 引用1.
  • The eroding trust in the dollar, ballooning deficits, and global easing underpin hard assets as resilient cornerstones 引用2.
  • The US Dollar closed at new 6-month lows, reflecting clear technical support and resistance levels 引用5.
  • Trump threatens 100% tariff on Canadian goods for a China trade deal, marking a return to the “tariff playbook” just 8 days after Canada announced a “strategic partnership” with China 引用11.
  • Trump’s contradictory stance on Canada-China trade within 8 days—first encouraging a deal, then threatening a 100% tariff—shows policy inconsistency 引用13.
  • A tumultuous 2026 (Venezuela, Fed, EU tariffs, Canada tariffs) defines this as “the most tradable market in history” 引用17.

📈 Market Sentiment & Strategy

  • S&P 500 ($SPX) recording two straight weekly declines for the first time since June historically presages an average +10.6% gain over the subsequent 6 months 引用6.
  • Advise against limiting stock searches to the U.S., emphasizing global diversification 引用8.
  • Prediction markets are illiquid, “glorified penny stocks with worse odds,” and not innovative investment tools 引用10.
  • The “Great SaaS Meltdown” has commenced, signaling an irreversible industry shift 引用15.

⛏️ Commodities Outlook

  • Crude Oil closed the week at its highest since October, after recent multi-year lows 引用3.
  • A dream about $SILVER is the ultimate top signal, suggesting a potential peak for the asset 引用12.
  • China demands over half of global copper supply but can only meet ~8% domestically 引用14.
  • Silver shows exhaustion risk above the monthly Bollinger upper band, not strength. Market “new paradigm” calls imply maxed leverage, foreshadowing a “brutal reset” for late longs chasing $100+ 引用19.