🧠 AI & Semiconductor Sector Insights

  • The robust AI-driven semiconductor cycle is currently preventing a major US stock market sell-off. Both US and Hong Kong markets will likely continue their choppy, range-bound trading seen since October. Expect the short-term clustered rally in global semiconductors and metals to hold, with limited major index-level opportunities. 引用[3]
  • JPM surprisingly pegs Kioxia as its top pick for eSSD exposure, citing a larger market footprint than SanDisk, a view contrary to some market assumptions. 引用[1]
  • Specific stocks are poised to capitalize on Claude AI’s success: $MU for memory in long-context agents, $NVDA for inference pricing power, $PLTR governing agent actions, $ALAB boosting GPU utilization per rack, and $NBIS meeting sudden GPU rental demand. 引用[2]

📊 Market Structure & Trading Patterns

  • The “Maggy 7” ($AMZN, $GOOG, $TSLA, $META, $NVDA, $MSFT, $AAPL) have consistently closed the year in unison for the last 7 years, despite varied YTD returns (e.g., $AAPL -8.5% vs. $AMZN +5.6%). 引用[8]
  • Consistent “big scoop” buying after $SPX gap-downs or red candlesticks reveals a relentless dip-buying pattern. How long can this trend persist? 引用[10]

📈 Cryptocurrency Outlook

  • Bitcoin appears poised for an imminent breakdown. 引用[5]
  • The current drawdown in $BTC relative to $SILVER is a