📈 Market Sentiment & Rotation

  • Investor sentiment for $Silver and $Gold has capitulated, shifting from FOMO to panic selling. 1
  • Tech ($QQQ) has chopped sideways since October, while Gold ripped 37% and Silver rocketed 150%. A key question is whether capital flows back into tech or if the rotation is cooked. 10

🏛️ Fed Chair Nomination & Political Economy

  • A surprise Rick Rieder nomination for Fed Chair, currently a 5% chance in prediction markets, could trigger a massive red-to-green reversal in cyclical value stocks ($RSP). 2
  • Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Fed Chair signals a return to hawkish monetary policy. Trump’s choice fits a pattern of appointing figures he later criticizes, treating the Fed Chair as a “punching bag.” 4
  • Kevin Warsh’s appointment as Fed Chair solidifies Stanley Druckenmiller’s influence, with current Treasury Secretary Benson and the new Fed Chair linked to his family office. This forms a new economic, monetary, and fiscal power axis in the U.S., elevating Druckenmiller’s financial market status to Peter Thiel’s tech sphere equivalent. 5
  • U.S. stock index futures signal the market welcomes the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh. 6

💸 Crypto & Investment Warnings

  • The collapse of numerous crypto treasury companies was entirely predictable, despite repeated denials of “warning signs.” 3

🧠 AI Innovation & Tech

  • Google is dropping new AI products daily. Project Genie from DeepMind, a Genie 3 world model prototype, generates interactive virtual worlds from prompts, accelerating progress towards AGI world models for robotics, animation, and game development. 7

📊 Earnings & Corporate Fundamentals

  • $SOFI Q4 earnings crushed estimates, with revenue up 40.3%, 1.35 million new users, and EPS at $0.13. FY26 guidance was raised. The key earnings call question is whether Anthony Noto will explain past equity dilution and potential major acquisitions. 8
  • $META is piling on off-balance-sheet shadow bets, a financial engineering masterclass that should be a B-school case study. Despite a parabolic capex trend, investors are bullish. 9