🧠 AI/Tech Sector Analysis

  • AI growth critically depends on memory availability, mirroring its reliance on power and networking. This drives $SNDK’s +150% gain in 2026. 1
  • Google’s Genie 3 points to AI systems shifting towards continuous, real-time operation. This transition from bursty queries to always-on workloads will significantly boost baseline demand for compute ($NVDA, $AMD) and memory ($MU, $SNDK). Expect $META to follow suit. 12
  • Revenue per employee for top-decile AI/software companies jumped 75% in 2025, a growth rate unlikely to slow in 2026. 9

📊 Trading Strategy & Risk Management

  • Bullish sentiment alone is insufficient; strong fundamental and technical analysis are useless without robust risk management. Price action on names like $PYPL, $NIO, $NKE, $PFE, $ZM, $TDOC, $LCID, $PLUG, $MBLY repeatedly demonstrates this. 2
  • Only deploy larger positions when the trend is unequivocally clear. 5
  • Revenge trading, while tempting, consistently derails trading performance and must be actively resisted. 11

🌐 Macro-Economic & Fed Policy Insights

  • Dollar rebound and a surge in long-end rates, possibly influenced by Kevin Warsh, impacted markets. Stopped a loss on GC around 5180, now eyeing support at 4950/5050, with a potential re-entry at $4830. 4
  • Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh views Bitcoin ($BTC) constructively, seeing it as a valuable software platform with the potential to counterbalance flawed monetary policy. He is not threatened by it. 6
  • Despite Warsh’s selection, year-end market easing expectations are holding firm at only 2 rate cuts. 7
  • The perception of Warsh as hawkish misses the mark; a political appointer would choose someone to facilitate rate cuts, even in a strong economy, to project independence. 8
  • The knee-jerk selling of Gold ($GLD) and Silver ($SLV) based on Warsh being a “hawk” is misguided. His history of advocating rate cuts suggests his appointment aligns with a dovish agenda. 10
  • A declining Dollar Index is not synonymous with a weakening of the dollar’s global standing; these are distinct concepts. 13

🏦 Financial & Company Specific Analysis

  • $SOFI’s fee-based revenue hitting a record 43% of total sales signals growth driven by platform engagement, not just increased lending. This improves margins and expands its valuation multiple, reducing its reliance on a pure lender identity. 3
  • $ASTS demonstrates genuinely strong price action, rendering the 155 target conservative at this point. 14
  • $AAOI shows a clear base breakout pattern, indicating a highly bullish chart setup poised for a chase. 15