🧠 Market Sentiment & Strategy

  • Despite past “dips” for $PLTR at $200 and $HOOD at $140, where “it won’t dip lower” was the prevailing thought, the risk-to-reward has quietly shifted for buyers. 引用[1]
  • When market sentiment pulls down strong earnings, it signals a prime buying opportunity. 引用[2]
  • Short-term negativity often blinds the market, but long-term value investing rewards those who “bottom-fish”; while good companies don’t always make good stocks, fundamental strength prevails eventually. 引用[3]
  • Following a significant “smoking” of metals (Silver: -19%, Platinum: -15%, Gold: -6%, Copper: 4.5%), the “buy the dip” crowd is anticipated to arrive. 引用[4]
  • A “chop chop” market demands patience, requiring monitoring existing positions rather than impulsive action. 引用[5]
  • Even a “historic selloff” like $GLD plummeting almost -10% in a single day can still show a +13% year-to-date gain, highlighting the contrasting perspectives of short-term volatility versus long-term performance. 引用[6]
  • After a major selloff, patience is crucial for a true bottom to form; the bottom must be tested multiple times on the daily timeframe. 引用[7]

🪙 Metals & Commodities Outlook

  • Near-term targets for metals are Silver at 72-75$ and Gold at 4300-4350$. 引用[8]
  • $Silver found support at 92.5, potentially forming a local bottom, but the broader sell-off is not yet over. 引用[9]
  • Silver continues struggling to find a bottom, primarily due to an unwinding of excessive leveraged positions. 引用[10]
  • The “next contrarian #commodity” is emerging. 引用[11]

📊 Equity & Sector Deep Dive

  • Bulls of $PLTR should be wary of a potential Head & Shoulders pattern forming. 引用[12]
  • Vanke post-2017 leadership deviated from its “good student” image; despite advocating “live on,” it aggressively expanded land acquisitions (2017: 2189亿, 2018: 1351亿, 2019: 1610亿, 2020: 1349亿, 2021: 1274亿), ballooning interest-bearing debt to nearly 4000亿 within five years. 引用[13]
  • Memory is the absolute top priority in the AI stack, which explains $SNDK’s over 150% surge in 2026. 引用[14]
  • $SOFI’s fee-based revenue now constitutes a record 43% of total sales, indicating growth driven by deeper user engagement. 引用[15]

🌍 Macro & Broader Market Forecast

  • February appears set for a volatile month for $SPY and $QQQ, following initial “blow-off tops” in crypto and metals, suggesting equities could be next. 引用[16]
  • For crypto to rally, the downtrend must first conclude, giving way to a period of sideways “chop” before a true upward trend can emerge. 引用[17]