📈 Market Sentiment & Trend Analysis

  • Short sellers are capitulating: SPY short interest is near 8-year lows at ~9%. QQQ short interest hit ~6%, lowest since 2018. 2
  • QQQ staged a +3% rebound from overnight lows. Bears missed the bounce. 6
  • Silver remains heavy. Trapped bulls are using rallies to unload positions. 14
  • East Asian retail investors dumped stocks overnight due to Warsh’s balance sheet reduction stance. 13
  • Market is higher post-Warsh announcement, yet metals are lower. This suggests metals’ leverage spilled over into equities via margin calls, not from a hawkish Warsh perception. 16
  • Extreme market conditions put options volatility traders’ hedging skills to the test. 23

🎯 Stock Specific Insights & Trading Plays

  • Still holding AVGO. 1
  • PLTR’s implied move for weekly expiration (Feb 6, 2026) is ±8–10.6%. Longer-term (monthly to Feb 20/27) is higher, ~12–13%. 3
  • Initiated new positions in NOW and IGV. 5
  • Planning to buy TEVA on a pullback to 28. 10
  • TSLA is scaling Giga New York to ~300MW annual solar module capacity. This move internalizes production, reducing third-party reliance and shifting assembly to the U.S. 11
  • Booked profits on NOW, cycling capital. This repeatable system works. 18
  • Market recognizes SNDK as a second-order storage winner, despite macro noise. 19
  • Tesla China’s Optimus Gen3 robot announcement lacks new information. The “soon” timeline is vague. 20
  • Robinhood (HOOD) broke below MA200, back to July 2025 levels. Upcoming catalysts: Feb 10 earnings, US gov “Trump Account” custodian list, CLARITY ACT passage. A trading plan is essential. 24
  • HOOD is -42% off ATHs. Consider nibbling. A crypto dead cat bounce could send it back over $100 for a swing trade. 28
  • Booked profits above 120, re-added below 100. Long-term bullish. 30

💡 Trading Strategy & Philosophy

  • Trading style dictates K-line usage: daily K-lines for frequent short-term adds/cuts, weekly K-lines for long-term base positions. Weekly K-line triggers signal overall trend shifts. 17