AI financing remains ample, evidenced by Oracle’s $25bn debt sale. Despite this, a market bubble is anticipated to burst within 3-5 years, triggered by perceived safe debt running into trouble. 引用[1]
Fund managers’ cash levels are at a historic low of 3.2%, down from 3.3%. S&P 500 ETF and Nasdaq 100 ETF short positions have hit an eight-year low. This suggests bulls are spent, and bears capitulated. 引用[2]
US household equity allocation as a % of financial assets hit a record 47.1%. This represents a +16.6 point surge since the 2020 pandemic low and a +142% increase since 2008, indicating peak retail involvement. 引用[3]
Many investors on X overlook “boring” blue-chip stocks like FedEx ($FDX), General Motors ($GM), JB Hunt ($JBHT), Pepsi ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG), and Exxon Mobil ($XOM), reflecting a bias against traditional value. 引用[4]
In a “chop chop market,” caution is advised. 引用[5]
Closed $IGV position with a 2.9% loss; will re-evaluate entry upon a confirmed bounce. 引用[6]
A Canadian investor holding a balanced portfolio of HYLD and HDIV (Covered Call ETFs) for one year could realize a 19% total return on C$500,000, netting C$100,000. Of this, C$55,000 would be dividend income, generating C$4,600 monthly, given 10% and 12% dividend yields respectively. 引用[7]
Dollar-cost averaging into broad market indices fosters portfolio stability, enabling tactical reallocations during significant growth stock corrections to deploy capital. This approach combines the aggressive return potential of growth stocks with the resilience of the broader market. 引用[8]
February is historically a challenging month for $SPX, with 5 of the last 7 having closed red. 引用[9]
The current market “broadening,” where $RSP (value/industrials) outperforms $SPY (broader market), is crucial. Without this dynamic, equity markets would have faced a “really ugly” start to the year. 引用[10]
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s clarification, denying a $100 billion one-time investment in OpenAI, potentially triggered today’s 3% dip in $NVDA. 引用[11]
A clear bifurcation exists as $SPY hits new all-time highs, while $QQQ has lagged for 3.5 months, failing to achieve new peaks. 引用[12]
Polymarket assigns a ~51% probability for Bitcoin ($BTC) to drop to $55K by 2026. 引用[13]
Gold reclaiming $5,000 while Bitcoin ($BTC) continues its slide challenges the “rotation” narrative, signaling a potential shift away from crypto. 引用[14]
Key support levels for crypto: $BTC must hold $75K, $ETH must hold $2.1K. A conviction break could lead Bitcoin to $65K-$67.5K and Ethereum to $1.8K. 引用[15]