Market shows clear risk-off sentiment, with $XLP up +2% and $XLK down -2%, a pattern historically seen in the 2000-2001 dot-com bust and January 2025 before the Trump tariffs crash. 引用[1]
While $SPX is down only 1.5% from ATHs, many significant market cap companies ($50-400B) are already down 30-50% or more; it raises concerns about their performance if the broader market falls by -5%. 引用[10]
Despite today’s market downturn, $ASTS (+10%), $RKLB (+8%), and $PLTR (+7%) demonstrate strength as builders of tomorrow’s economy. 引用[14]
Market is recognizing a significant Fibonacci cluster, including a 685.4% extension from the 2007–2009 GFC, 261.8% from the 2022 bear market, and 161.8% from the 2025 tariff tantrum. 引用[3]
A second Hindenburg Omen has triggered today, following one last Thursday; while a single signal is often negligible, multiple occurrences warrant vigilance. 引用[22]
$PLTR is positioning as the bellwether for enterprise AI at scale, guiding to 61% revenue growth in 2026. 引用[6]
$NVDA extended its decline to -5% today, signaling a sharp pullback across AI stocks. 引用[9]
$AAPL is integrating Anthropic and OpenAI agents into its Xcode platform, embedding AI-powered coding assistance directly into its core developer tools. 引用[16]
Widespread despair and capitulation among Bitcoin bulls on X signal a classic bottoming pattern, potentially setting up a relief rally in the coming weeks. 引用[13]
$HOOD hit $84.93 intraday lows; the “blue and orange line” needs to act as support immediately for bulls. 引用[7]
The continued decline of $SOFI to the $21 handle, from $25, reflects a poor stock performance. 引用[11]
$MSFT is experiencing a drawdown nearing the April 2020 Covid Crash levels; a visible gap fill around $390 is approaching, which could be a self-fulfilling prophecy or a crowded trade, signaling a potential bounce soon. 引用[12]
Remains bullish on $META; the retracement to the $690 area, from highs of $745, offers a strong reload zone between $650-$700, projecting a potential move to $1,000 by year-end or next, likely followed by a 10-1 stock split. 引用[15]
$HOOD showed a decent end-of-day bounce from $85 lows, eyeing $90 tomorrow. 引用[17]
$NVO is down -15% today, now at $50 after a run from $45 to $65; it looks like a reload opportunity. 引用[18]
$SNDK has surged +200% in 17 of the last 22 trading days this year, raising questions about the sustainability of this rally. 引用[19]
$AMD is down only -1% post-earnings, which is a relatively mild reaction. 引用[20]
If a stock feels expensive, a small position often sees it go 5x, observed about 70% of the time. 引用[2]
After three consecutive losses, my trading system isn’t aligning with current market conditions; stepping aside to manage existing positions. 引用[4]
Selling out-of-the-money cash-secured puts (CSPs) on $AMD for earnings, a strategy that has worked well previously for $META, $AAPL, and $PLTR, driven by a “GIG” (guessing, intuition, gambling) indicator. 引用[8]
Most economists, excluding certain Austrians, appear to dislike a healthy, functioning free market system. 引用[21]