📈 Market Outlook & Strategy

I anticipate a 5% pullback in $SPY between now and March. This correction will feel amplified as high-beta retail names could plunge 3-4x the index’s decline. 1
$NASDAQ is in the red YTD for 2026, starkly contrasting with $IWM which is up +6% YTD. 10

📊 Technical Analysis & Stock Specifics

$ARGT is retesting its previous breakout level; the risk/reward looks favorable here. 5
Many stocks resembling $CIFR have been breaking down over the past couple of weeks. 6
$WULF remains strong, with a breakout from lower highs still in play. 7
$VNET currently presents one of my top small-cap setups. 8
The overlay of $NVDA and $AVGO charts appears quite ugly. 11
$ARKK is on the verge of losing its 200-day moving average today. 12

In this market, taking a small loss on a position and then seeing it crater another 15% can feel as rewarding as a win, validating good risk management. 4
My recommended covered call ETFs are structured to avoid eroding principal. 13
Do not be fooled by $LMND’s current glory; its early days were brutal. $TEM is enduring similar “tough times.” Maturation for both good startups and astute investors comes from passing cycle tests. 14
While short-term directions for Canadian and US markets are murky, I expect a long-term rally. Consequently, ETFs tracking these markets will also trend up long-term. 17
If holding covered call ETFs for 30 years is your plan, recognize this strategy is barely a decade old, lacking equivalent 30-year backtest data. 20

Uranium is running hot; delaying entry means chasing later. 2
Software stocks are trading like “Malware,” signaling a broad sea of red across the sector. 9
The market clarity bill faces legislative hurdles. A White House stablecoin meeting on February 2nd tackled controversial yield/reward issues within the US crypto market structure bill, specifically the CLARITY Act. This effort by the White House Digital Assets Advisory Council to break a six-month Senate deadlock failed to achieve resolution. 18
China’s “granular tax collection” yielded less than 1% tax revenue growth over one year, an unsatisfactory outcome. No immediate changes to VAT are expected. Consumption tax reform can advance for oil and vehicles, but tobacco is too sensitive, and baijiu reform is technically complex given 80,000 distilleries, 100,000 wholesalers, and 5 million retailers. Game tax reform remains academic. 19

$WMT hit a fresh ATH today while boasting the third highest Forward P/E among the ~50 largest global companies, trailing only $PLTR and $TSLA. This valuation stands out. 3
$AMD missed earnings due to buy-side overestimation of CPU shipments, despite TSMC’s capacity shortage, and weaker non-China GPU sales. 15
The negative market reaction to $AMD’s earnings, despite a fundamentally strong quarter, is because the stock already prices in 2027 expectations, specifically the full production of MI450 and rack-scale systems. 16