📈 Market Outlook & Strategy

  • Nasdaq ($QQQ) could rally +1200 points in two days, fueled by Amazon ($AMZN) and Google ($GOOG) exceeding estimates, with Apple ($AAPL) driving ongoing leadership. 3
  • During market downturns, prioritize calm and assess available capital (“dry powder”) over panicking or reacting to speculative “ghost stories.” 13
  • A sound trading philosophy emphasizes preparation, transparency, and decisive position cutting when trades move unfavorably, targeting consistent profitability over being perfectly right. 14
  • A Warsh + Trump administration suggests a clear mandate for lower interest rates, with the long-term economic implications for the U.S. being the primary debate. 5

📊 Stock-Specific Analysis

  • Microsoft ($MSFT) appears to have bottomed out from a trading perspective. 1
  • The negative reaction to AMD ($AMD) earnings stems from the stock already pricing in 2027 expectations, despite an objectively strong quarter. 2
  • A buying opportunity exists for Rocket Lab ($RKLB) below $70; geopolitical fears concerning Iran are an irrational barrier for investors. 4
  • Observed bullish flows in AMD ($AMD) influenced a personal decision to sell weekly Cash-Secured Puts (CSPs), acknowledging that sometimes unconventional trading strategies succeed. 6
  • Apple ($AAPL) demonstrates impressive resilience against broader market weakness, with a projected target of $300, acting offensively on up days and defensively on down days. 8
  • Berkshire Hathaway Class B ($BRK.B) Bollinger Bands are at their tightest since July 2024, historically preceding an 11.5% rally. 9
  • Strong conviction holds that BMNR ($BMNR), currently at $20, will reach $25 before falling to $15. 10
  • If Google ($GOOG) dips to $230, it presents a clear buy opportunity. 11

🤖 Tech & AI Insights

  • AI is positioned to absorb ‘some’ software functionalities, impacting the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) sector. 7

⚡️ Global Energy Dynamics

  • China is leading in electricity generation, annually producing a record 10,000 TWh. This significantly surpasses the US at 4,500 TWh (55% less), with China’s power generation surging +33% (+2,500 TWh) since 2019. 12