📈 Market Breadth & Cycles

  • Sector rotation is underway; $SPX breadth expands despite tech weakness. 19% of $SPX stocks hit 52-week highs, historically signaling gains 6-12 months out 1.
  • NASDAQ 100 saw an unusual -1.7% drop with more advancing stocks. This mega-tech selloff pattern, rare at 4 prior instances, consistently led to further losses in the next 2 months 2.
  • Indices hold, but individual stocks are slaughtered. This contrasts with 2025’s market downturn from February 19th to April 8th, prompting questions on the current bottom 3.
  • High-growth stocks experienced a “great purge,” with widespread 5% pullbacks and some 15-20% drops, many breaching 200-day moving averages. This presents a key “buy-the-dip” moment 4.

💡 Tech & AI Investments

  • Big Tech is racing to fund OpenAI. Nvidia is reportedly mulling a $30 billion investment, with Amazon eyeing at least $20 billion 5.
  • $NVDA will forego new gaming GPUs this year due to memory chip shortages. This prioritizes HBM and advanced DRAM for data center AI workloads, a strong bull signal for $MU 6.

💼 Company Performance & Strategy

  • $HSY proves “boring stuff” delivers, with FY26 EPS guidance of $8.35 significantly beating the $7.06 estimate 7.
  • $GOOGL Search revenue jumped 17% YoY (fastest since early 2022). AI, via Gemini and AI Overviews, favorably impacts Search, indicating underappreciated growth 8.
  • $HIMS is launching a compounded semaglutide pill at $49 intro, then ~$99/month, severely undercutting $NVO’s Wegovy at ~$199/month for the same active ingredient 9.
  • $HIMS expanded into multi-cancer detection, offering $GRAIL’s Galleri blood test (screening 50+ cancers) with a $250 member discount 10.

📊 Economic & Labor Market

  • Layoffs are predominantly driven by business unit “closing,” not AI. This counters prevailing narratives about AI’s impact on job cuts 11.
  • The “crisis” narrative around recent Challenger job cut data is overblown. 40% of January’s layoffs came from just $AMZN and $UPS 12.

⛓️ Cryptocurrency Market

  • Bitcoin stands alone (outside gold) as the only major asset yet to “round trip” its election gains. BTC miners’ role is noteworthy 13.
  • Crypto carnage may be leaking into equities 14.
  • Crypto market cap plunged -$1 TRILLION since January 14th, shedding -$45 billion daily over 22 days. Filtering market “noise” is paramount 15.

🚀 Emerging Tech: Autonomous Vehicles & Space

  • Speculation mounts on a potential SpaceX smartphone, with Samsung posited as an intriguing OEM choice 16.
  • An unsupervised Tesla Robotaxi was observed in Austin, adeptly navigating traffic and yielding to a scooter, demonstrating operational autonomy 17.