đź’ˇ Investment & Trading Strategy

  • Big gains don’t require nailing the exact bottom or catching falling knives 1.
  • Cutting a long-time loser brings relief, even if it’s near a perceived bottom 5.
  • Semiconductor strength, fueled by Google’s explosive capex increase, prompted selling puts and re-adding positions in performing stocks 7.

📉 Crypto Market Insights

  • $BTC hits its 3rd most oversold Daily RSI in history; $ETH nears its 4th 3.
  • Bitcoin failed as an inflation hedge, now back to 2021 levels despite peak inflation 10.
  • $BTC broke 2.4-year lows relative to $GOLD, post “head and shoulders” pattern 16.
  • Current Bitcoin selling looks “emotional,” questioning investor rationality after erasing post-Trump election gains 20, 24.
  • Every altcoin chart shows extreme destruction, often -99% off ATHs 30.
  • Fundstrat’s Sean Farrell accurately called the $BTC/$ETH market 9.

🚀 Tech & AI Deep Dives

  • $PLTR is poised as an enterprise AI bellwether via agentic AI and a strong government business. AIP will be the core control layer 4.
  • $GOOG is the bedrock of AI: superior free cash flow, healthy business model, robust vertical integration, minimal $NVDA tax, and high capex efficiency 27.
  • The $U crash, down 50% in weeks, is GFC/Covid-level volatility, despite Google’s AI video game prompt 21.
  • Market leaders include $NVDA, $META, $NFLX, and surprisingly $GME 8.
  • The $HIMS stock drop from $29 to $23 is a “white hair” inducing cycle, ironically driving demand for its own hair restoration products 12.
  • $MSTR is cheap, like “McDonald’s” 26.

📊 Market Technicals & Outlook

  • A tech relief rally for $QQQ is highly probable tomorrow 28.
  • $QQQ Daily RSI is nearing April 2025 levels 17.