đź§  Trading Strategy & Psychology

  • No need to nail the exact bottom or catch falling knives for big market gains. 1
  • Cutting a long-time loser, even if undervalued or at the lows, brings immense relief. 5

⛓️ Crypto Market Analysis

  • $BTC Daily RSI hit its 3rd most oversold level in history; $ETH near its 4th. 3
  • Bitcoin’s narrative as an inflation hedge is debunked; after the biggest inflation spike in decades, its price is back to 2021 levels. 10
  • $BTC hit fresh 2.4-year lows relative to $GOLD; the head and shoulders pattern was too obvious in hindsight. 16
  • Bitcoin fell below $66,000, down $11,000 this week alone, signaling “emotional” selling. 20
  • Bitcoin erased all gains since Trump’s November 5th, 2024 election, now down -6%, prompting questions on whether this is justified or mere market noise. 24
  • Almost every alt coin is -99% off its All-Time Highs, indicating brutal capitulation. 31

🤖 AI & Tech Sector Insights

  • $PLTR is poised to be an enterprise AI bellwether with the rise of agentic AI; its AIP platform will be the control layer for AI agents in workflows. 4
  • Closed semiconductor puts yesterday; semis are the strongest sector today following Google’s explosive capex increase. Now adding back semiconductor long positions. 7
  • $U crashed 50% in weeks, reminiscent of GFC/Covid downturns, potentially linked to Google’s AI video game creation prompt. 21
  • $GOOG boasts the market’s best free cash flow, a healthy business model, strong vertical integration, is free from debt, pays minimal $NVDA tax, and has the highest capex efficiency, making it a beacon of hope in AI. 28
  • Expecting a relief rally in tech stocks ($QQQ). 29

📊 Market Indicators

  • $QQQ Daily RSI is nearing April 2025 levels. 17

🎭 Market Commentary

  • $HIMS plunged from $29 to $23, driving investors to buy its hair restoration products, a sardonic cycle. 12