🧠 Tech CapEx & AI Infrastructure

  • $AMZN CEO confirms AWS CapEx overwhelmingly targets AI infrastructure, fueling growth as demand outstrips capacity. AWS monetizes AI fast; Trainium is now a multi-billion-dollar business. 1
  • $AMZN AWS backlog surged to $244B, marking a 40% YoY and 22% QoQ jump. 2
  • Market panic over Google, Microsoft, and META CapEx presents a prime buying opportunity. Microsoft cloud revenue hit $51.5B (+26%), with Azure exploding 39%. 3
  • AWS added 3.9GW power capacity in the past year (equivalent to 4 nuclear plants), with 1.2GW in Q4 alone. Expects to double total capacity by end of 2027. Power is the critical bottleneck in this modern industrial buildout. 4
  • Amazon’s $200 billion CapEx is beyond analyst comprehension, diversified into AI servers, Kuiper LEO satellites, and robotics. These are long-cycle investments, not short-term revenue drivers, potentially distorting ROIC. 5

📉 Market Sentiment & Trading Strategy

  • Asian markets are the first fully-traded post-earnings. They reflect institutional sentiment on CapEx fears, driving declines. US pre-market/after-hours rallies are pure retail churn. 6
  • Markets possess human emotions and memory; they mirror human participation. 7
  • Retail traders: prioritize survival. Live to fight another day. Avoid account blow-ups. 8
  • Current market phase: a triple-dip environment. Several names are getting smoked; $IREN down 50%, $U down 40%, $COIN down 26%. 9
  • 2026 trend: popular names are getting wrecked; obscure names rewarded. Medium-term traders must respect stops. Don’t bag-hold. The “get back to breakeven” mindset is lethal. 10
  • Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index hit 12, signaling extreme fear, just 2 points from April 2025 lows. Selling is purely emotional. 11

🌐 Sector-Specific Insights & Predictions

  • Bitcoin is poised for a dead cat bounce. Expect a retest of $70k-$75k, possibly overshooting to $80k. 12
  • Silver plunged after hours due to low liquidity and stop-loss hunting. 13
  • AI stocks are tanking because the tech has become too good. 14
  • FDA’s crackdown on illegal copycat drugs will pressure compounded-drug companies like $HIMS. 15
  • By late 2026, with Rubin rollout, memory makers could generate more revenue from SSDs than DRAM. SSD supply might tighten more than DRAM. 16
  • Some altcoins are outperforming Silver in stability, highlighting Silver’s extreme volatility. 17