📈 Tech Sector & Valuations

  • $NVDA is leading the 2026 charge, fueled by massive CapEx commitments: $AMZN ($200B), $GOOGL ($180B), $META ($125B), $MSFT ($118B). 引用[1]
  • $AMZN’s ad unit alone commands a ~$450B valuation, priced at ~15x EBITDA. This compares favorably to $META (~12x EBITDA, growing ~24%), $NFLX (~21x EBITDA, growing ~18%), and $TTD (~9x EBITDA, growing ~14%). This $85B revenue business boasts ~23% growth and ~35% margins. 引用[2]
  • Tech stocks’ forward P/E compressed to 23x from over 30x post-sell-off. Still elevated (86th percentile since 1990), but the sector’s valuation gap is narrowing; the 40% tech premium is slashed. 引用[3]

📉 Momentum Stock Dynamics

  • Momentum stock crashes (like #EOSE) without a ‘Smoking Gun’ are significant. Historical patterns, corroborated by a leaked Goldman Sachs note, point to the largest ‘Momentum Factor’ event since 2020. 引用[4]

â‚¿ Crypto Market Signals

  • $BTC, now +12% off $60k lows, faces a critical test at $70k today. 引用[5]
  • Both $BTC and $ETH flash historically oversold Daily RSI signals: $BTC at its 3rd most oversold, $ETH near its 4th. 引用[6]
  • The average Bitcoin investor, since inception, is sitting on a ~10% gain. 引用[7]

🎯 Individual Stock Plays & Ideas

  • $HOOD is lagging; it deserves a push to $80. 引用[8]
  • Dumping Micron ($MU) over HBM4 supply concerns is misguided. This news was anticipated, and Micron commands higher margins from server DDR5. 引用[9]
  • $HOOD is trading at May 2025 levels relative to $SCHW and registers its most oversold RSI levels ever. 引用[10]
  • Consider a speculative $HOOD acquisition of $BULL. With only a few billion in market cap, it could double $HOOD’s active users and expand international exposure. 引用[11]
  • Despite public ‘reputations,’ $WMT and $MCD are at ATHs, proving their robust fundamentals. 引用[12]

📊 Market Sentiment & Technical Levels

  • A surge in Total Put Volume and Put/Call Ratio historically flags bottoms for $SPX. 引用[13]
  • $QQQ has short-term gap targets: upside at $605.75 and downside at $597.03, from its current $600.75. 引用[14]
  • A relief rally saw $QQQ reclaim $600 and $VIX crush, yet $AMZN’s ‘good’ earnings didn’t entirely align with the market’s trajectory. 引用[15]

💡 Investment Philosophy

  • Trust seasoned industry CEOs over ‘armchair’ Wall Street analysts. 引用[16]
  • Exercise extreme caution with investments that have already delivered 5-10x returns in 10 years, avoiding FOMO-driven actions. 引用[17]