šŸ“ˆ Macro/Market Outlook & Sentiment

  • Embrace market fear from signals like “Hindenburg Omen” or “Death crosses”; this widespread anxiety often flags a bull signal 1
  • Avoid shorting 2
  • Prioritize insights from experienced, leading CEOs over typical Wall Street analysts 3
  • Holding through dips or buying the bottom rewards patience; big rally days define why we invest: to capture and enjoy explosive gains 4
  • If a market bottom truly hit, expect abundant new setups. The recent flush of excess leverage and froth was a healthy, deserved resetā€”just enough to shake out weak hands, convincing many the rally is over 5

šŸ’” Industry & Stock-Specific Insights

  • The “Drone Dominance Program” is a brutal “Squid Game” selection; only 5 of 25 vendors will secure final contracts for 300,000 units in Phase I by 2026 6
  • Consumers turn to unverified “compounded drugs” or “research-only” illegal medications due to shortages/pricing. A critical concern: some compounded drugs use unverified “salt forms” of Semaglutide, not the FDA-approved active ingredient, posing safety and efficacy risks 7
  • Despite market concerns over dilution from a $3.3 billion capital raise, new data reveals “profit signals” for SoFi ($SOFI). The new capital could generate an additional $298 million annually, even maintaining Q4 2025 9% ROTCE 8
  • DDR4 memory prices at Shenzhen’s Huaqiangbei Electronics Market are “wavering,” signaling a slight softening or adjustment 9
  • The market initially penalized Google, Amazon, and Microsoft for high capital expenditures, overlooking the primary beneficiary: Nvidia. Today’s correction saw Nvidia up 8% mid-day, nearing $185, and SMH up 5% 10
  • Amazon’s ($AMZN) advertising business alone merits a ~$450 billion valuation. For context, Meta trades at ~12x EBITDA with ~24% growth, and Netflix at ~21x EBITDA 11
  • $OSCR hit its most oversold Daily RSI in 2.5 years today. $HIMS on Monday will post its most oversold Daily RSI ever post-SPAC. Outlook: Dire 12
  • France’s Macron announced over ā‚¬30 million invested in AI through “France 2030.” This is dwarfed by Nvidia’s daily revenue of $360 million, underscoring the scale disparity between national initiatives and private sector AI dominance 13
  • Leverage AI to double sales for local small businesses, starting with sushi joints, within 6 months 14