Willy Woo opined in December that October marked the start of the bear market 引用[1].
US job openings hit recession levels in December, dropping -386,000 to 6.5 million, the lowest since September 2020. The -907,000 decline over the last two months is the largest since March 2023引用[2].
Japan’s general election results will impact markets. USD/JPY rates, nearing 160 in late January, triggered a joint US-Japan intervention on January 23rd. This week, USD/JPY resumed its climb from 152 to 157.2引用[3].
A severe bear market, akin to the dot-com bust or financial crisis, would see 80% of participants fail 引用[4].
Elon Musk posits that once solar power, robotics, chip production, and AI form a closed loop, traditional currencies become obsolete. “Power and tonnage” will measure true value, not USD引用[5].
Since 2018, $SPX has seen at least two or more 6% drawdowns annually, historically presenting buying opportunities. Expect at least two 6%+ drawdowns in 2026引用[6].
Elon Musk’s space computing concept lacks realism. Energy is only 10-15% of data center lifecycle costs, and global energy supply is not truly constrained (even with China’s growth). Significant investment for a 10% cost factor seems unwarranted 引用[7].
Warsh’s silence since his January 30th Fed Chair nomination is unusual, deviating from historical norms where nominees engage publicly. This deviation prompts speculation 引用[8].
$NOW is a falling knife. While typically avoided, a speculative “yolo” entry around the $95ish level could be considered 引用[9].
The $SPX 100dma holds significant importance; bears must break below it to trigger a more substantial downtrend 引用[10].
The $IGV ETF sits on a “Mother of All Trendlines” (MOAT), showing multiple touches since 2009 lows. This confluence, plus a potential quad-bottom, record daily volume, and record low Daily RSI, suggests a critical juncture for this trendline to hold 引用[11].
Revising prior dismissal, NAND controller stocks are now seen as potentially benefiting more than previously expected 引用[12].
The “Apple Bull” thesis suggests “vibe coding” will significantly boost Apple’s revenue. By lowering programming barriers, “vibe coding” will drive more App Store submissions, increasing App Store revenue 引用[13].
UBS raised its $MU price target from $400 to $450, maintaining “Buy”, citing an expected memory shortage (DRAM and NAND) lasting until 2027. DRAM shortage could extend to Q4 2027, NAND to Q1 2027. Phillip Securities initiated coverage with a $500 target, “Buy” 引用[14].
Apple likely broke into the top 5 in the Indian market. Unlike Samsung’s struggles in China, Apple maintains strong performance there and has successfully established itself in India, indicating significant upside 引用[15].
Panic surrounds $HIMS. The stock is down 80% from highs, despite previous expectations of reaching $150. Investor is now a “bagholder” after reinvesting profits 引用[16].
Investor is still holding $HIMS due to a low cost basis and previous profit-taking, indicating a “profit position” and confidence to await CEO decisions 引用[17].
High confidence in $ETN due to significant CSP (Cloud Service Provider) spending 引用[18].