Near market bottoms, specific indicators or patterns emerge 1.
The current market downturn is distinct from the “crash” observed in ‘21-‘22 13.
The stock market often behaves like a “three-year-old,” reacting excessively to immediate emotions without long-term vision. This emotional volatility presents opportunities: attractive entry points during periods of extreme tension, and timely exit signals during excessive euphoria 15.
A mechanical strategy for averaging down during pullbacks involves estimating an “extreme bottom” using market decline expectations and individual stock Beta, then planning 3-5 staggered purchases from the Bollinger Band lower rail to that psychological limit 4.
Top picks for names under $10B include $ONDS (drone connectivity layer), $CIFR (AI utility era landlord), and $JMIA (scaling) 2.
$AAPL is “all in” on AI, integrating “Apple Intelligence” across products and leveraging its 2.5B+ device ecosystem for distribution. A personalized Siri, showing early traction in features like Visual, is set to launch this year 8.
Elon Musk’s attention to Cursor CEO Michael Truell sparks speculation of a potential acquisition. Cursor (Anysphere) develops AI-driven code editors, with its flagship product, based on VS Code, being the fastest-growing AI programming tool for natural language code generation, editing, and understanding 9.
AI’s productivity gains are most evident in information services and professional/technical services, with significant traction also in transportation & warehousing and finance. Value and cyclical stocks have emerged as top performers in ’26, despite early stages of AI integration 10.
$GOOGL, $MSFT, $META, and $AMZN confirmed over $600B in 2026 CapEx, with significant flow into the AI stack. $AMD is a key second-source for AI GPUs (MI300 & MI400 series), while $NVDA dominates the AI accelerator layer with Blackwell shipping and Rubin in the pipeline 14.
$GOOGL has surpassed $NVDA as the leading contender to become the world’s most valuable company by year-end 16.
China’s top-5 semicap market is projected to be down 5% to $34.6B in ‘25. AMAT’s share decreased from 47% in 2017 to 24% in 2025. ASML rose from #5 in 2022 to #1 in 2024. TEL declined by -17%, and KLA saw its first decline 3.
China is set to mass-produce HBM3, the fourth-generation high-bandwidth memory crucial for AI semiconductors, this year. This moves the Korea-China technology gap from 4 years to 3 years 6.
Natural gas is positioned as the sole scalable bridge to meet escalating load growth until grid infrastructure can catch up 5.
Electricity costs decrease with increased power generation; this dynamic explains why data center-rich states often see cheaper power than places like NY, CA, and MA. Large data centers drive demand, making new power projects viable 7.
Current macro landscape includes a Dow 100,000 price target from the US President, a new Fed Chair “required” to cut rates, renewed talks of $2,000 stimulus checks, the US government buying $200 billion in mortgage bonds, and a new $1.2 trillion funding bill 11.
Following a significant electoral victory, Japan’s ruling coalition can meet the constitutional amendment threshold. Post-March 19th US visit, expect a push for expansionary fiscal policy: $300 billion for AI (7% of GDP) and an additional 5% defense spending. National debt-to-GDP ratio could climb from 250% towards 280%12.