📈 Market & Macro Outlook

A Fed–Treasury accord would usher in predictable issuance, less repo stress, and fewer policy shocks, resulting in lower term premium and easier financial conditions, which are generally asset-supportive 13.
The US economy is poised to take off, suggesting software sector issues won’t escalate into a macro problem. Market discourse may shift from anticipating Fed cuts to potential Fed hikes later this year 15.

🚀 Individual Stock Insights

$PYPL: A 60% drawdown demands a 150% bounce to break even, a “miracle” unlikely to materialize 4.

$CRWV: An igniter candle with good volume printed Friday; a move and hold over the 21 MA is next on the radar 3.
$GNRC: Letting it ride, watching mid-190s for the next level; stops moved up slightly on ride orders 5.
$SYM: Reversal off the 200 MA and gapped up Friday; next levels to watch are a move and hold above the 10 EMA and 21 MA 6.
$TSLA: A doji potentially confirmed a reversal Friday 7.
$UPS: Updated chart shows stops moved up for a “let it ride” strategy 8.
$WMT: A long-term “let it ride” with new highs; all stops were raised 9.
Friday saw an oversold bounce with decent volume on daily charts 10.
While many charts bounced Friday, the best setups may involve a multi-day bounce followed by a lower low, then a new base and subsequent bounce 11.
$OKLO: The short is over; a bounce began at the base bottom Friday, now back on the long watch 14.
Many software ($IGV) names are on watch for potential bounces 16.
$CRWV is flagging a Bull Flag. Following an 80% run from Dec 15 to Jan 26, it will be showtime when it clears 110 23.

Questioning why anyone would make a Polymarket wager that guarantees a loss, especially when safer investments like CDs, Annuities, Money Market, or T-Bills exist 12.
Futures often open green on Mondays; a consistent pattern 28.
The notion that a “real trader” should have predicted Takaichi’s landslide victory and already held Nikkei longs is a sarcastic jab at market expectations 30.