$MSFT daily chart shows a bounce off recent lows with a confirmed stick today. A small gap in the 422 area is the first resistance level on my radar. 1
$CEG daily chart shows follow-through from a confirmed reversal. Earnings are expected this month. 2
$HIMS is up +17% off its intraday lows. A close above $20 today or tomorrow would be highly constructive. 11
Market breadth is surging: 65.6% of S&P 500 stocks have outperformed the index over the last 3 months, the highest reading since late 2024. This marks the 5th-strongest market participation in 23 years, compared to a long-term average of ~50% and a 20-year low of 19%. 14
For anyone doubting technical analysis, the $MSFT chart perfectly demonstrates the phenomenon of gap filling. 16
$ARM updated chart shows a small overhead gap as the next level of interest. After 4 consecutive green days, some basing is likely needed soon, and I’m watching the gap area for this consolidation to begin. 17
$QQQ just filled the open gap down from 5 days ago. Gaps always tend to fill. 18
The NYSE Advance-Decline line continues to hit new all-time highs. Mathematically, this signifies more stocks advancing than declining, not fewer stocks participating. 21
Used car prices are surging again: Wholesale used vehicle prices rose +2.4% MoM and +2.4% YoY in January, reaching the highest since September 2023. This significantly exceeds the long-term average monthly decline of -0.2%. Non-EVs led the increase at +2.2% YoY, followed by luxury at +1.6%. 3
AI-related debt is nearly 7X oversubscribed, indicating that credit markets are comfortable with it, unlike the sentiment often seen on “fintwit.” 7
Questioning how a currency can be considered a “contrarian” play if it’s already one of the most shorted currencies globally. 12
The market is currently pricing in only two 25bp Fed rate cuts, which seems low given a scenario where a Trump administration might appoint a Fed chair inclined to aggressively cut rates. I’m betting on more aggressive cuts. 15
$INTC is a leading company, and its stock performance clearly reflects this daily: it holds up during market chops, holds during market drops, and dips on bad news are bought. 5
Databricks is scaling like a platform, exiting Q4 with a $5.4B revenue run-rate, 65% YoY growth, and positive FCF. Notably, 80% of new databases on the platform are now built by AI agents, with AI revenue already at a $1.4B run-rate. The company is currently valued at $134B. 6
$ONDS subsidiary, 4M Defense, secured a $30M+ multi-year autonomous demining contract along the Israel–Syria border, marking one of Israel’s largest land-clearance efforts to date. 8
$PLTR is near its 50-week SMA for the first time since August 2024. Historically, reclaiming the 50-week SMA has often signaled a bottom. Palantir crushed earnings and is trading at a 40% discount from all-time highs; many are not yet paying attention. 10
A critical take on how traders often disguise significant losses as wins. For example, buying $HIMS at 50, 40, 35, 30 and averaging down, while the stock is now up 10% from the bottom, the overall trade remains 40-60% down. Expect this narrative to become prevalent. 4
Both $NBIS and $CRWV show an explosive setup, potentially delivering a year’s gain in a week. Mark my words. 9
Bitcoin is rebounding, but the question remains: is the crash truly over, or is this a trap? 13
The stock market is up today due to the “Sydney Effect,” confirming its influence. 19
Successfully executed “paydays” (quick profits) on $AVGO, $CEG, $CRWV, $HOOD, $OKLO, $SYM. These short-term gains help fund and settle into full swing trades, acknowledging the added risk from additional shares bought. 20
My posts are for educational purposes and reflect my personal trading actions and observations, not an endorsement for blind following. Always trade according to your own plan, charts, and style. 22