📈 Market Outlook & Technicals

  • H&S reversal is super bullish. 1
  • $SPX longs are long in the tooth. Expect a 5% dip into March, filling the 6,603 gap. 4
  • $ADBE at critical support. A bounce from here has historical precedent, dating back to Covid. 27
  • $WULF and $CIFR charts are twins: massive bases signal bullish consolidation. $WULF leads, expect $CIFR to play catch-up. 28

🏦 Macro & Central Bank Watch

  • US faces a tough choice: weak USD to onshore military/critical minerals production, or strong USD for cheap imports from China. 2
  • Fed’s balance sheet reduction will be slow, taking up to a year for decisions; rapid action is unlikely before mid-term elections. 9

💡 Company & Sector Deep Dive

  • $APP popped after-hours. Hong Kong/Chinese hedge funds covering shorts on $APP and $CRDO drove the pump. 3
  • $RDDT is notable. Sam Altman’s substantial 9% stake, coupled with consistent blowout earnings, makes it a strong play. 7
  • $GLW checks out. Deep research confirms a solid company. 20
  • Favoring semicap names due to less crowding compared to storage/optical plays. 22
  • $SWK has breakout potential. Mass adoption of DEWALT’s autonomous drilling robot will re-rate the stock. 23
  • $UPS rallied from $80 to $120 post-Covid lows. Expect similar bounce setups in other tickers. 25
  • Software stocks have bottomed. Top picks: $DOCN, $MSFT, $PLTR, $TTWO, $ORCL, $TWLO, $NTES. A sector ETF just did something unprecedented in 25 years. 29

💎 Commodities & Regulatory Front

  • Shanghai Silver inventories are collapsing. Down to 350 tonnes (lowest since 2015), an 88% drop from the ~3,000 tonne peak in January 2021. Tightness is evident. 13
  • White House is pushing Coinbase on crypto regulation. The ‘Market Clarity Act’ is a spring priority; a small faction resists clear rules. 16

💰 Investment Strategies

  • DIVO is a premium Covered Call ETF. It’s actively managed, targeting 20-25 stable, dividend-paying blue-chip firms, selling calls on a portion of the portfolio. 15