A bleak picture emerges for lower-income and younger Americans as disappointing holiday retail sales coincide with consumer delinquencies hitting levels not seen since 2017 1.
$SPY and $QQQ are coiling, with Bollinger Bands narrowing daily, indicating extreme compression and an imminent “volcano eruption” move 11.
$QQQ has stalled since October. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 101–200 stocks (QQQJ), with more Industrials and Healthcare and less Technology, Energy, Materials, or Financials, have quietly outperformed 6.
The “Pain trade” continues to be “Broadening,” where less “sexy” stocks ($RSP) outperform $SPY. I foresee “truck drivers beating chip makers” next 13.
A stark contrast exists: thousands show up to lose money on Bitcoin discussions, yet only hundreds show interest in making money from “unsexy” Railroads ($UNP, $CP, $CSX, $CNI) 14.
$QQQ’s daily chart is stuck in “chop chop no mans land,” signaling a period for patience and only engaging with the highest-conviction setups 18.
$SPOT saw an intraday surge over 19%, signaling it has likely bottomed out after a substantial drop from $785 to $405 2.
While $PLTR’s $1B, 10-year Airbus partnership might seem small for a ~$340B company, I view it as a foundational step for future AI monetization 3.
Taking another shot at a “dumpster dive trade” on $NFLX after a previous loss, waiting for stronger confirmation before a full commitment 4.
I am questioning the intraday drop in $SCHW, noting it coincides with $HOOD reporting earnings 7.
My observation on $SCHW is “stairs up, elevator down” for its recent price action 8.
I am shorting $PLTR due to a weekly Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown, while simultaneously longing IGV components like $MSFT, $ORCL, $MDB, $DOCN. I would flip long on $PLTR if it reclaims $148.5 9.
I am considering shorting Procter & Gamble ($PG), speculating that OpenAI might soon disrupt the toothpaste industry with “MintGPT” 10.
$RDDT shows follow-through on its gap-up day, with a thin zone up to $160 and potential for a move and hold above the 10-EMA 12.
A valuation puzzle exists when $AMZN (approx. 14% revenue growth, 10% margins, 27x earnings) is compared to $COST (8% growth, 3% margins, 47x earnings) and $WMT (6% growth, 3% margins, 44x earnings) 15.
$HIMS has endured an unprecedented losing streak, dropping in 17 out of the last 18 weeks—a severity I’ve personally never witnessed 17.
Ferrari’s move to an EV called “Luce,” with interiors designed by Jony Ive’s LoveFrom prioritizing tactile switches, I believe signals the end for the brand 5.
My biggest wins consistently stem from sizing positions with conviction while respecting personal rules, taking partial profits at pre-set targets, and then allowing the trade to play out 16.