Economic data is unreliable in real time; markets move first, with price action often signaling changes before data confirms them. The 2022 recession period saw markets bottom before data confirmed a downturn 1.
Current market sentiment doesn’t feel good for longs. Gathering cash in anticipation of new lows in the days/weeks ahead, which will create better long opportunities 5.
New themes and narratives are emerging; focus should shift from what previously led the market higher 16.
The market’s leadership is currently in sectors like industrials ($XLI), energy ($XLE), consumer staples ($XLP), and materials ($XLB), rather than tech stocks 18.
The true advantage of profitable swing or day trading lies in geographical freedom and independence, allowing one to trade from anywhere 250 days a year with just a computer and internet, rather than merely making money 8.
Bullish on $GNRC, attributing its opportunity to previous market panic. The company boasts an “Order backlog at $400 million for large megawatt generators, with the majority expected to ship in 2026, supporting a goal to double CNI product sales in the years ahead” 9.
$ALAB could serve as a short hedge/funding short in the semi sector due to a concentrated customer base (AWS) and anticipated margin compression following the latest earnings report 14.
$SHOP’s recent price action created “bagholders” 15.
Bearish on $NFLX, which is down 18 of the last 23 days, -38% from ATH’s, anticipating a break below the $82.50 triple bottom 19.
$IBM is not a “safe” dividend stock, with 45% of its revenue tied to COBOL software, making it a legacy player collecting “rent” rather than innovating in AI like $TSM. Its future revenue is at risk as legacy customers migrate or are replaced 21.
$MSFT is trading at a 7-year valuation low despite being a key AI platform company, suggesting either significant structural issues are being priced in, or it’s an undervalued future AI leader 22.
Watching $SCHW for a potential bounce after two red days, nearing its critical 200-day moving average “support” area (2% away). It remains a “creme of the crop name” 23.
$META’s muted price reaction, failing to pop 3-4% as typically expected, suggests underlying weakness despite otherwise positive indicators 29.
Serious delinquencies are skyrocketing in the US: Credit card delinquencies rose +0.3 percentage points in Q4 2025, reaching 12.7%, the highest since Q1 2011. This level is just below the 13.7% peak seen during the 2010-2011 period, following the 2008 financial crisis 13, 30.