🧠 Market Sentiment & Macro Outlook

Confusion reigns; “good news” often spun as “bad news” to muddy the waters. 1
AI doomerism is exhausting; this tech leap, like the internet, will likely reshape futures positively. 2
Retail buying frenzy in US tech, with $IGV purchases setting records at +$176 million last month, double the previous peak, and 12X early 2026. 3

🌍 Emerging Market Opportunities

Latin American vs US stock ratio retesting 1999 historical bottom, signaling a pivotal inflection point for a move into emerging markets. 4

$ASML is indispensable for advanced chip manufacturing; its EUV tools producing ~13nm features are critical for AI chips like $NVDA Blackwell, $AMD MI300, $AAPL M4, $GOOGL TPU, and $AMZN Trainium. Without ASML machines, no advanced chips. 5
$GLW positioned as the next big play after $MU and $SNDK; $META’s $6B fiber deal highlights AI data centers needing 10x more fiber. 6
Certain big tech names—$PLTR, $HOOD, $MSFT, $CRWD, $ORCL, $UBER, $QCOM, $MELI, $PANW—are long-term performers; short-term weekly/monthly noise obscures their true trajectory. 7

$MU CFO confirms high-volume HBM4 production has begun, shipping to customers a quarter ahead of schedule, debunking market rumors. Performance has broken through 11. 8
Senator Hickenlooper (Energy Committee) bought ~$100,000 of $ETN on Jan 14; Eaton secured $8 billion in expansion funding days prior, leading to today’s $ETN all-time high. 9
$KTOS will lead in drone tech; selected for the DoD’s $1.1B drone program’s first phase, aiming for rapid, low-cost one-way attack drones. This positions Kratos for revenue growth in 2026+. 10
$HOOD’s core business criticized for packaging retail user data for firms like Citadel; this “garbage gambling site” model leads to retail investor “slaughter,” echoing Munger’s “dirty and indecent” assessment. 11
$HOOD shows powerful agility by spinning up a ~$300M run-rate prediction markets business in its first year. 12

$HOOD at a key technical blue line; bulls need to bounce now, as next major support is ~$67. A mini bear flag formation requires immediate invalidation. 13
$GNRC is a focuslist pick for base breakouts. 14

Private equity / private credit struggles to hold prices above key VWAP levels. 15
Private credit, accounting for ~30% of the $4.1 trillion US leveraged finance market, is being misleadingly presented with “volatility laundering” by firms conflating illiquidity with price stability. 16
US household debt surged +$191 billion in Q4 2025, reaching a record $18.8 trillion; mortgage debt alone jumped +$98 billion to $13.2 trillion. 17