đź”® Market Outlook & Strategy

  • S&P 500 is due for a meaningful correction soon; it’s a market law. 2
  • When selling options or spreads, close positions after capturing 80-90% of the premium. Avoid chasing the last few days. 4
  • Money flow is currently concentrated in Energy, blue chips, memory, industrials, consumer cyclicals, home builders, photonics, specific AI infrastructure bottlenecks, foreign markets, transports, and healthcare. 5
  • Administrations politically levered to asset prices will backstop markets during wobbles, making intervention inevitable. This supports hard assets over time. 14
  • The trade this year favors “spending money everywhere else” rather than “selling America.” Asian stocks have shown their best outperformance against US equities since at least 2000. 15

📊 Stock-Specific Insights

  • Keep an eye on $PGEN for a pending breakout. 1
  • $VRT is a key beneficiary of the AI era; recent earnings spurred a massive PEG candle, driving the stock to new all-time highs. 3
  • Anticipated 2026 pullback buy zones: $GOOGL at $250, $NVDA at $150, $AMZN at $165, $AVGO at $251, $SPOT at $370, $AMD at $170, and $MU at $310. Buying these dips could yield substantial returns. 7
  • Goldman Sachs initiates coverage on $UUUU with a “Buy” rating and a 12-month target of $30, implying 32% upside. UUUU’s competitive edge lies in owning the highest-grade US uranium deposits and operating the only plant processing both uranium and rare earth elements. 8
  • $COIN technicals suggest a bounce off the blue line is critical; otherwise, a drop to the purple line is likely. 10
  • $HOOD exhibits a pattern of 44-55% pullbacks followed by 4x surges in 2024 and 2025; the current 55% pullback could signal another rebound. 12

🤖 AI & Tech Industry

  • Coinbase’s launch of Agentic Wallets for AI agents heralds the emergence of an “Agent Economy,” where AI can autonomously manage and transact funds. 9
  • Global markets are overly focused on identifying AI “winners” and “losers,” often overestimating short-term victors like Google (December) or ByteDance (currently). The rapid development cycle of AI, e.g., Gemini 3 to Opus 4.6 in just 3 months, highlights this volatile dynamic. 11
  • AI’s coding capabilities pose a direct threat to India’s software outsourcing industry, potentially making it one of the first sectors to be disrupted. 13

🌎 Macroeconomics & Policy

  • The narrative surrounding China’s “new vs. old growth drivers” in 2023-24 is questionable. Despite strong performance in “new three items,” economic sentiment crashed. The post-September 24 rebound isn’t due to stronger new drivers, but rather an expansion of equity in balance sheets. 66
  • A House vote (219-211) against proposed Canadian tariffs by Trump does not signal a halt to his trade war, refuting sensational headlines. 16

đź›’ Consumer Trends

  • A bifurcated consumer landscape: PepsiCo and McDonald’s boosted sales through price cuts of 15% or more, indicating pressure on lower-income consumers. Conversely, Hermes raised prices by 5-6% in 2026, highlighting resilience among high-end consumers. 17