Market participants often dismiss positive economic data as fake while readily embracing negative data, indicating a collective desire for recessionary narratives 引用[1].
Despite a hotter-than-expected jobs report, markets still price in two rate cuts by year-end. The political factor of Trump’s potential influence, contingent on disinflation, remains unpriced 引用[2].
Crypto Fear/Greed Index levels are near historic lows, hitting 5 last week, signaling a potential inflection point for the market 引用[15].
Despite co-founder and employee turnover, xAI is rapidly accelerating, targeting 1 million H100 equivalent computing power, with audio/video generation volumes already exceeding all competitors combined. Its core moat is extreme acceleration, focused on Grok & Imagine for foundational models and real-time A/V generation 引用[5].
UBS reports that one-third of hyperscalers’ CAPEX increase this year is due to memory costs. They raised 2026/2027 CAPEX forecasts for major hyperscalers by +43%/+28% respectively, to $827 billion/$915 billion, reflecting +61%/+11% YoY growth 引用[8].
$NBIS is scaling its AI compute footprint far faster than market expectations, expanding from 7 data center sites in 2025 to a guided 16 today 引用[10].
AI is driving historic market profitability: the S&P 500’s net income margin (excluding financials) reached a record 13%. This margin drops to 9% when excluding the Magnificent 7 and tech, highlighting a ~4 percentage point gap driven by tech 引用[13].
$MSFT AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman predicts AI will automate most routine professional work (e.g., accountants, lawyers) within 12 to 18 months引用[17].
$NBIS plans $16–20B in CapEx for AI data center expansion, with over 60% expected to be internally funded via operating cash flow 引用[21].
Growth investors find prime opportunities when companies like $PLTR face short-term “noise” unrelated to their core AI economic value proposition 引用[28].
Anthropic’s release underscores significant public concern over AI regulation, noting 69% of Americans believe the government’s efforts are insufficient 引用[12].
Lenovo’s CEO reported storage price increases of 40% to 50% last quarter, anticipating a potential doubling this quarter, with the trend now spreading to other core components 引用[6].
From a long-term undersupply and China risk perspective, the ranking is HBM DRAM > DRAM > NAND (longest to shortest undersupply; lowest to highest China risk) 引用[20].
Tech sector $XLK short interest is at a decade high, indicating a crowded short trade in tech and software 引用[7].
Small-cap Tech has seen double-digit gains in 2026, diverging sharply from large-cap Tech which is down for the year 引用[11].
$HIMS has experienced a severe downturn: 10 consecutive down days, 11 consecutive down weeks, 17 of the last 18 weeks down, and 5 consecutive down months, a performance worse than Paypal引用[16].
$FIG, a hot IPO last year, is now down -85% from its all-time highs. Adobe’s rejected $20B acquisition of Figma looks prescient given $FIG’s current $11B market cap 引用[18].
$SHOP has shown extreme volatility over the last 8 trading days, fluctuating from $142 to $106 to $145 to $109, now at $120, trading like a meme coin despite its $160B market cap 引用[25].
$AMZN has fallen -17% over 10 of the last 11 days, currently testing the $200 support area 引用[26].
Futures trading shows recurrent patterns. The market faces a choice between a “gap and go” trend day or a “gap and crap” followed by a grind higher after filling the gap 引用[23].
$QQQ has consistently filled morning gaps for the last three trading days, with another gap open today, indicating a repeatable intraday pattern 引用[30].
The willingness to pay $450/month for a slow clothes-folding service reveals a consumer preference for novelty over practical utility; that $450 is better spent on essentials 引用[24].