Questioning the conventional view that a weaker Dollar drives risk assets; perhaps strong risk appetite diminishes demand for US Dollar safety 3.
Speculating on a contrarian play with a basket of underperforming stocks ($BMNR, $HIMS, $ORCL, $PYPL), implying they might bounce as they can’t go much lower 5.
$HOOD at $67, down 50% from highs, is a steal, presenting a discount opportunity 6.
$NFLX at $76.80 is unappealing; eyeing a long entry if it pulls back to the $68-$69 range 9.
$NBIS is poised to be a dominant platform for AI product development with absurd growth; revenue projections are $7M (Dec 23), $35M (Dec 24, 5x YoY), $228M (Dec 25, 6.5x YoY), and $1.4B (Dec 26E, 6x YoY). Just added shares 10.
$APP is on my watchlist due to strong financials: $1.7B revenue (+66% YoY), $1.4B EBITDA (+82% YoY), and an 84% EBITDA margin. Guidance for sequential growth into a weak quarter suggests the stock is disconnected from its strong business fundamentals 12.
$SCHW breached its 200-day moving average; expecting a bounce 13.
My 1Q26 outlook highlights “Agentic AI in Hotel Rooms” for lodging stocks ($MAR, $H, $HLT). These names responded strongly to earnings, exemplifying a “broadening” pain trade 14.
$HOOD is approaching $67, a critical support area 15.
$AMZN could fill the gap at $193 if it breaks below the psychological $200 level 16.
Following Koichi’s landslide election victory, the USD/JPY exchange rate has fallen sharply, and Japanese long-term bond yields have also dropped significantly. The direct cause is Koichi’s supermajority in the House of Representatives, allowing him to pursue “responsible” policies at his own pace without opposition compromise 11.
The current market action appears to be a reflection of Trump’s midterm election results 17.