$BTC sees a constructive bounce from $65k, needing to clear $70k for a retest of $75k. 1
US equity market stress is rising beneath the surface: the put-call skew in the Nasdaq 100 ETF ($QQQ) is up to 0.39, the highest since the April 2025 market sell-off, indicating increased demand for downside protection. 5
Over the last 3 months, $SPX has consistently tested or traded below its 50-day moving average at least once every 3 days on average. 7
“$VIX Crush Fridays” are back: today saw a -16% peak-to-trough drop, following last Friday’s -19% plunge. 9
Risk appetite is robust: the 10-day average notional options volume on S&P 500 stocks is up ~$530 billion, marking a 2-year high. 13
Current market models for new platform adoption are lagging; AI is embedding into enterprise workflows and consumer products at an unprecedented speed, far exceeding prior transitions. 2
Ondas ($ONDS) secures multi-million dollar NATO orders for its “Iron Drone Raider,” an airport-compatible system using “AI netting” for precise drone capture without communication interference. 15
Stargate UAE is poised to be the world’s fastest AI data center buildout, targeting 5GW of total planned capacity. 18
Critique suggests Mag-7 stocks will be bid up after capital flowed into overvalued consumer staples trading at 40X earnings. 3
Market logic is perplexing: strong earnings cause sell-offs (good news priced in), while weak earnings trigger rallies (bad news priced out). 4
The market needs a significant catalyst, akin to a “rocket engine boost,” following a successful SpaceX launch. 6
Historically, $SPY and $QQQ rally into Feb 14 (62% win rate), but the latter half of February is often the weakest period, second only to September. 11
Markets misjudged today’s CPI print; expect choppy conditions ahead for all assets as the “AI kills everything and deflationary” narrative battles the “Trump/Takachi reflationary” outlook. 12
True trading involves buying quality, staying humble, and accepting losses, contrary to the common perception of complex charts and constant stress. 8
Anticipating a market bounce, I’m eyeing aggressive plays on “Maggy 7’s” like $META, $MSFT, $AMZN with forward multiples at 21 or lower. 14
Forward PE and PEG remain valuable valuation tools for future growth, except for “monster stocks” like $PLTR, $TSLA, or pre-profit growth names. 19
Avoid concentrated covered call ETFs with few tech holdings due to risk; prefer broader options like HDIV, HYLD, or single-stock covered call ETFs for conviction plays (e.g., SOFY, HODY, PLTE, YTSL). 20
International equity ETFs saw record inflows of +$51.6 billion in January, marking the 5th consecutive monthly increase and 17th straight month of inflows. 17