History repeats: when a handful of mega-cap stocks dominate index performance, fragility builds, which is not characteristic of durable bull markets 1.
The market is nearing a tipping point. Financials are showing specific signals at the 50 Week SMA for the second time since the 2022 Bear market, which most people are overlooking. Year-to-date 2026 shows strong performance in Basic Materials (+20%), Energy (+19%), and Staples (+15%), while Tech is down (-3%), signaling a potential sector rotation 2.
Regarding $QQQ, losing the weekly 21EMA hasn’t always been a major issue in the past, with quick recoveries possible. However, $MAGS appears significantly weaker 3.
I strongly disagree with Burry’s stance on $PLTR; he seems to be betting against its “orchestration layer” 4.
While $PLTR is a great, rapidly growing company, Anthropic’s emerging narrative makes $PLTR feel less attractive and highlights its high valuation. $PLTR trades at a 5B revenue run rate with a $313B market cap, whereas Anthropic boasts a 14B run rate with a $380B valuation and exponential growth 5.
Michael Burry published a detailed short thesis on Palantir, likening it to “AI 时代的皇帝新衣” (the emperor’s new clothes of the AI era), maintaining a critical view 6.
The Cybersecurity sector is under pressure because AI is set to disrupt large portions of its value chain 7.
SaaS sector valuation typically relies on a PS (Price-to-Sales) multiple rather than PE (Price-to-Earnings), justified by high growth rates and gross margins 8.
I observed the Tesla Cybercab’s automated scissor doors closing after a tester exited, predicting that in commercial operation, door actions will be fully automated, especially closing upon passenger exit 9.
X will act more like Stocktwits, providing real-time stock prices and information rather than direct trading capabilities, which is still a massive improvement for the fintwit community 10.
The X platform will not handle transaction execution or act as a broker. Its upcoming Smart Cashtags financial data tool will allow users to view real-time prices, charts, and asset information directly from the timeline, but buying/selling operations will redirect users to external broker partners. The choice of these partners will be crucial 11.
It’s remarkable how social media has integrated prominent investors like Michael Burry, Bill Ackman, Jim Chanos, or Peter Schiff with retail investors, a level of accessibility unimaginable 10-15 years ago12.
I will be ready to buy $BTC and $ETH if they hit the $49k-$50k range 13.
For $PLTR, $125 appears to be a critical support level, marked by past peaks, a blue trendline, and a slight RSI divergence. I would consider playing for an oversold bounce around $125 as a swing trade 14.
$PLTR seems to be completing a 5 wave ABC correction. I might consider a long position on a dip, using the trendline (TL) as a stop-loss. Losing that level would signal further downside 15.
In public discourse, people are often forced to choose between two extreme identities (“大外宣” or “殖人”), or are manipulated. This is problematic, but unavoidable as long as humans are involved in public opinion due to their irrationality and inability to manage their cognition. However, agents could potentially overcome this 16.