VIX divergence from S&P 500 signals topping is a process, not an event. Sustained divergence suggests potential turbulence. 引用[5]
Current market sees broader SPX components struggling, while the “Magnificent 7” stocks surge. A shift could see the “Mag7” cool off and the wider SPX rally. 引用[6]
Monitor VIX pre-market price action next Wednesday (02/18) and Friday. If February VIX expiration and OPEX fail to clear volatility, a VIX spike to 25+ is highly probable in the coming weeks. 引用[8]
AI’s capabilities could eventually displace human actors in Hollywood. 引用[2]
Anthropic’s CEO sees AI nearing the tail end of exponential growth, with a ’nation of geniuses in data centers’ by 2026 and 10x revenue growth. This marks a qualitative AI shift, balanced with rational investment. 引用[9]
Tesla’s Optimus robots, estimated 200,000 times more complex than Robotaxis, are projected by Elon Musk to begin transforming factories by 2027, become evident in 2028, and achieve a massive impact by 2029. 引用[13]
The “AI Agent Era” prompts significant adaptation from internet infrastructure providers. Coinbase now offers dedicated wallets for AI agents, and Cloudflare is implementing Markdown support to optimize content delivery for AI, positioning agents as first-class citizens. 引用[15]
Palantir’s widespread adoption by institutions and governments remains enigmatic. It’s unclear if the product is genuinely superior or if Alex Karp is simply highly persuasive. 引用[1]
The CEO’s Epstein files drama generated curiosity about a product, leading to a purchase. It reinforces the notion that any publicity can be beneficial publicity. 引用[4]
Independent financial analysts like @Citrini7, @michaeljburry, and @SemiAnalysis_ now wield greater market impact than traditional sell-side firms. 引用[7]
SMIC Co-CEO Zhao Haijun’s earnings call performance, specifically downplaying $3 trillion data center investments as premature while asking for no order cancellations, warrants a 10% valuation haircut. This approach to advanced process demand seems problematic for a “national hope” firm. 引用[10]
CoreWeave executives, including CEO Michael N. Intrator, offloaded $23.7 million in stock on February 11 prior to the February 26 earnings report, indicating intriguing pre-earnings insider selling. 引用[11]
Bernstein is heavily bearish on Kioxia, recommending a sell and profit-taking. Their target price is ¥7,000, significantly below the current ¥22,845. 引用[14]
Big short Michael Burry labels Palantir “the emperor’s new clothes of the AI era” in a premium Substack piece, revealing a strong bearish thesis. 引用[17]
Psychologically, it’s more comfortable to occasionally ride the wave rather than constantly fight the mainstream. Avoid trying to be a counter-revolutionary. 引用[3]