The administration’s bet on disinflationary productivity appears to be working. 2
US new vehicle sales recovery is sluggish; despite a +2.4% rise to 16.2 million units in 2025 (highest since 2019), sales remain below 2015-2019 and 1999-2006 levels, only slightly surpassing 1986 levels. 3
The MSCI USA Index market cap relative to US M2 money supply hits a record 270%, up +120 percentage points since 2022, now exceeding the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak by approximately 40 percentage points, signaling a historic market run. 4
Upon SpaceX IPO, Elon Musk’s net worth, currently $849B, has a good chance to surpass the combined $1.12T net worth of Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bezos, and Larry Ellison. 5
Eric Jackson projects $BTC could hit $50M by 2041. 6
Michael Burry’s post-2008 track record is controversial; despite a 489% return from 2000-2008, his performance since 2013 with Scion has been disappointing, notably predicting 20 crashes but only succeeding 2 times recently. 7
Michael Saylor’s rhetoric is a clear $MSTR pump. Convertible bonds, hybrid debt/equity instruments, allow conversion to stock upon specific price triggers. $MSTR’s convertible bond conversion prices for the next 6 years range from $183/share to over $600/share, all above current levels. 8
Some retail investors mistakenly equate Palantir with $GME or firms dependent on government ties. 9
The software sector faces a collective sell-off, with Microsoft dropping nearly 30% from its peak. Given Palantir’s beta is three times Microsoft’s, a 30% decline for Palantir is normal, not indicative of a “bad stock.” 10
OSCR’s stock dip is tied to ACA policy uncertainty, affecting the broader healthcare insurance sector, seen with UNH. OSCR’s aggressive AI adoption is actively driving MLR and SGA to industry-lows, bolstering growth and retention, positioning it to thrive with AI, not be replaced by it. 11
OSCR stock surged 10% despite an EPS and revenue miss due to strong forward guidance. Oscar projects over 60% revenue growth and profitability in 2026, driven by core improvements in SG&A and MLR. 12
Market sell-off in $HOOD due to Bitcoin adjustment is likely an overreaction. Crypto accounts for less than 20% of total revenue, while Gold membership surged 58% YoY and net interest income grew 39%. Robinhood is evolving into a “financial super App.” 13
Leverage, while amplifying gains (e.g., $QQQ up 10% yields $TQQQ up 30%), carries significant risks as no stock rallies indefinitely. 14
Avoid leverage unless a highly certain market trend is present, which retail investors rarely identify accurately, often leading to being trapped. Excessive leverage, especially 2x or 3x, causes significant attrition. 15