💰 Valuation & Investment Metrics

  • PEG ratio is a pivotal metric for uncovering mispriced growth. Values below 1 suggest undervalued growth, while anything above 2 enters a danger zone. Current values: $TSLA ~3.8x, $PLTR ~2.6x, $AAPL ~2.4x, $GOOGL ~1.8x, $ASML ~1.7x, $TSM ~1.7x, $HOOD ~1.6x, $META ~1.3x. 1
  • $GOOGL’s 3-year PEG premium is well-earned. Google’s in-house TPU training for Gemini 3 offers a cost advantage in producing high-quality tokens compared to others relying on $NVDA Blackwell, solidifying its advertising moat. 2

🤖 AI & Competitive Landscape

  • $AMD’s partnership with Tata Consultancy for Helios rack-scale AI infrastructure marks a strategic pivot. Moving up the stack into full-system AI platforms positions $AMD to challenge $NVDA’s DGX/HGX model and provide a viable alternative to CUDA lock-in. 3
  • $META, $GOOGL, $MSFT, & $AMZN are racing to dominate the AI infrastructure layer. Owning the compute platform creates a “toll booth” for the next digital economy, capturing margin from every workload. 4

🇨🇳 China Macro & Social Trends

  • China’s economic evolution over 40 years is mirrored by the Spring Festival Gala’s sponsor shifts. This tracks from 80s scarcity-driven demand (康巴斯钟表, 3000 quartz clocks for 30-sec ad, 100k to 2M annual output), to 90s consumption upgrades (孔府宴酒 3079万, 秦池酒 6666万), and the 2000s real estate boom (美的 16 times for zero-hour chime since 2003). 5

⛓️ Supply Chain & Profit Margins

  • Rising storage prices are squeezing $CSCO’s profits. Japanese supplier Kioxia’s price hikes will also erode $AAPL’s margins, signaling broader industry pressure. 6

🧠 Trading Psychology & Risk

  • Trading demands fluidity, not rigid rules. My hard-won experience shows blow-ups don’t come from one bad trade, but from oversizing “sure bets” driven by perceived excitement rather than genuine analysis. 7
  • Real talk: Learned the hard way. Accounts don’t blow up from one bad trade; overleveraging “certain” positions does. That chest-tightening isn’t excitement; it’s dread. 8

⚡ Energy & Tech Infrastructure

  • A power crunch is on the horizon: Global data center electricity demand could surge to a record 1,596 terawatt-hours by 2035, a +255% jump from 2025. The US leads this surge, with demand spiking +144% to 430 terawatt-hours. 9

🌍 Global Market Signals

  • Thailand’s market refused to top, continuing its ascent. 10

⛏️ Strategic Resources & Geopolitics

  • A “supervolcano basin” in Nevada/Oregon reportedly holds $15 trillion in lithium. The Thacker Pass project by #LAC is projected to supply ~25% of US domestic lithium demand post-2026, critical for reducing reliance on China. 11

🎢 Market Volatility

  • Market volatility is simmering beneath the surface. The spread between single-stock 2-week volatility and the Nasdaq 100’s volatility hit 20.7 points, its highest since 2020. This indicates increasing individual stock swings relative to the broader index. 12