📈 Market Trend Analysis / Technicals

  • $AMZN shows deep support at its 25-year MOAT trendline, dating back to the 2001 dot-com bust lows. Despite 9 straight down days and low Daily RSI, this long-term anchor is bullish. 引用[1]
  • $JPM is poised for a bounce play. 引用[7]
  • $BABA is in a 5-month consolidation phase. A sustained hold above $147 could propel it to the $260s, building on prior successful calls at $80, $92, $115. 引用[16]

💰 Investment Strategy / Valuation

  • For effective market analysis, concentrate on the Weekly chart, 21-Week EMA for short-term, 50-Week SMA for medium-term, 200-Week SMA for long-term views, and horizontal support lines at previous market reversals. Keep it simple. 引用[2]
  • Peter Lynch’s preferred PEG ratio suggests mispriced growth when PEG < 1, while PEG > 2 signals a rich valuation. 引用[11]

🤖 AI & Robotics Progress (China)

  • The Spring Festival Gala prominently featured domestic humanoid robots, showcasing remarkable advancements in precision motion control and natural interaction across multiple segments. 引用[8]
  • “Lao Ma” (Elon Musk) identifies China as the sole formidable competitor in humanoid robotics, affirming the undeniable progress over the last year. 引用[9]
  • Unitree’s G1 and H2 robots at the Spring Festival Gala displayed notably improved maneuverability and cluster performance compared to last year’s showcase. 引用[14]

🤔 Societal Impact of AI / AI Philosophy

  • Extreme fear surrounding AI, jobs, and the future is likely inducing chronic stress and anxiety; consuming such content may be more detrimental than actual events. 引用[3]
  • AI is better understood as a “transition” rather than an “extinction event.” 引用[12]

🌍 Geopolitics of AI / Tech Leadership

  • Palantir CEO Alex Karp and Jensen Huang highlight the U.S. as a global AI powerhouse, attributing dominance to superior chips, software, engineers, and culture, contrasting with Europe’s perceived complacency. 引用[5]

🏭 Industry Analysis / Economics

  • A key question for the DRAM market: with only “Memory Big 3” suppliers, why can’t they implicitly coordinate supply like HDD makers to prevent over-investment? 引用[4]
  • Foxconn’s chairman projects “much better” revenue this year, targeting over NT$9 trillion (US$287 billion), a significant jump from NT$8.09 trillion last year, and claims over 40% share of the global AI server market. 引用[22]

📊 Market Sentiment / Risk Management

  • Investors are ramping up downside protection in Big Tech, with debt insurance value soaring to $10 billion and net notional credit default swaps (CDS) outstanding jumping nearly 400% from $2.2 billion. 引用[6]

🚗 Automotive / Autonomous Driving Strategy

  • “Lao Ma” (Elon Musk) confirms CyberCab mass production by April, featuring no steering wheel, pedals, or safety driver. The strategic move to cancel the SX production line and outright FSD purchase option signals a high-stakes, “do-or-die” approach. 引用[10]

🚀 Aerospace / Defense Technology

  • Rocket Lab ($RKLB) is revolutionizing hypersonic testing with its HASTE rocket, shifting from costly, low-frequency launches to a commercial cadence. It successfully completed multiple missions in 2025 for U.S. military/government and has more planned for 2026, with another launch set for late February/this month. 引用[13]引用[15]

👔 Corporate Governance / Market Dynamics

  • CEO turnover hit a new high last year among 1,500 largest publicly traded companies, with one in nine leaders replaced—the highest rate since 2010. Strikingly, over 80% of these new CEOs were first-timers. 引用[17]

🌐 Macro Market Factors

  • Recent U.S. stock market softness is driven primarily by a “capital expenditure war” among major tech firms (excluding NVIDIA) and associated capital leverage, rather than macro factors. 引用[18]

geopolitics 🗺️

  • Right-wing political momentum is expanding beyond Latin America, now making inroads into Britain. 引用[19]

⛏️ Critical Minerals / Supply Chain Geopolitics

  • A massive $1.5 trillion lithium deposit in McDermitt Caldera (US) is poised to become a game-changer. The Thacker Pass project, spearheaded by Lithium Americas ($LAC), is projected to supply approximately 25% of U.S. domestic lithium demand post-2026, significantly reducing reliance on China. 引用[20]

🔬 Semiconductor Industry / Geopolitical Strategy

  • Japan is strategically seeking to revitalize its semiconductor supply chain by actively courting investments from TSMC and ASE for advanced packaging plants, backed by substantial subsidies. 引用[21]