🚀 AI & Tech Sector Insights

NVDA’s Vera Rubin timeline is pulling forward by 3-6 months. China export bans enabled NVDA to leverage global suppliers, rerouting volumes previously bound for China 引用[1].
ASML is capturing significant memory market share. Semicap memory revenue grew from $15.5B in ‘19 to $30.7B in ‘25, with ASML taking ~40% of the $15B incremental spend. This means a 16pp share gain over 6 years, fueled by higher EUV capex 引用[9].
AI name selling isn’t a bubble; it reflects market unease with tech giants’ spending. META, AMZN, MSFT, & GOOGL are slated to spend over $600B in 2026 alone 引用[10].
A contrarian 10%+ rally for MSFT is brewing. Sentiment is shot, yet MSFT trades at a 30% discount from its record high 5 months ago, as AI disruption is overplayed 引用[14].

💡 Macro & Market Outlook

New US deficit and growth projections suggest a quiet period for bond vigilantes. Their half-century wait for a market revolt may extend further 引用[2].
The market likely topped out recently. A bearish pivot is now in play for SPX and SPY 引用[11].

AMZN is eyeing a $193 gap fill, then a bounce 引用[3].
QQQ gaps above are clear; today missed the blue gap fill by 5 pennies 引用[4].
AMZN shows signs of a bounce reversal 引用[5].
The market is testing long-side patience; accumulate cash and wait. Nimble shorts are currently performing best in this chop 引用[12].
Market behavior shows support holding, despite pervasive bearish sentiment 引用[6].
Stocks touted last week are now 10% cheaper. Market volatility means swift reversals are common 引用[13].

Social media content increasingly targets traffic, straying from genuine opinion or charisma. In the AI era, winners will hold pricing power, not just use AI tools 引用[7].
Australia’s DoD awarded Palantir Technologies Australia a $7.64M (AU$11.7M) contract on February 6, 2026. This engagement likely involves Palantir’s core Foundry or AIP platforms for critical data integration and tactical decision-making 引用[8].