February is historically “spooky” for $SPX, with 5 out of the last 7 Februarys closing red. Ref. 2
My “GIG indicator” (hunch) points to “fireworks to the downside” for $SPY in February. Ref. 3
The Magnificent 7 stocks are collectively nearing a bottom. Ref. 4
A potential bear trap is forming in the software sector ($IGV), adhering to the principle that “from failed moves come fast moves.” Ref. 5
$SLV hit a new 2026 low, having been historically overbought in January before its price was “shaved by half.” This highlights instances where bears and skeptics prove correct. Ref. 6
Disagree with Goldman’s expectation of a significant copper price selloff over the next couple of years. My contrarian stance is where I find opportunity. Ref. 7
Hedge funds’ net exposure to Magnificent 7 stocks reached a record 22%, up +10 points since April 2025 and nearly tripling since the 2022 bear market low. Investors are more concentrated in these stocks than ever. Ref. 8
David Tepper’s (Appaloosa Management) Q4 2025 13F report shows significant adjustments: while $BABA remains his top holding, he substantially reduced his stake by 20.34% (selling 1.31 million shares), though it still accounts for 10.88% of his portfolio. This, coupled with selling $KWEB, indicates a strategic shift from a broad “bullish on China” stance to “cherry-picking individual Chinese value stocks.” Ref. 9
Time to check the “smart money” plays. Q4 2025 13F filings show top fund managers still heavily weighted in tech, but are now selectively picking names in financials and semiconductors. Ref. 10
Stanley Druckenmiller’s Q4 13F filing reveals one of his largest new positions is $EWZ (shares + calls). Ref. 11
Samsung Electronics is strategizing for maximum profitability with HBM4, which is 20% more expensive than its predecessor, positioning them as a “Super Supplier” after being first to mass produce. Ref. 12
Companies focused on copper interconnects, such as $ALAB and $CRDO, are increasingly looking towards optical solutions, suggesting a broader industry shift. Ref. 13
Evercore reports that $NVDA’s Vera Rubin timeline has been accelerated by 3-6 months, attributing this to China export bans freeing up supplier capacity. Ref. 14
JX Metals plans to invest approximately ÂĄ20 billion in February 2026 to expand indium phosphide substrate production, targeting a 3x capacity increase by 2030. Ref. 15
Lumentum Holdings ($LITE) announced strong Q2 FY2026 results in February 2026, with revenue at $665.5 million (up 65% YoY) and EPS at $1.67, exceeding analyst estimates of $1.39 by 20%, generating excitement on Wall Street. Ref. 16
Elon Musk’s confirmation that CyberCab will be available for public purchase aligns with a lean asset strategy. Tesla can leverage a platform-commission model, profiting from software, rather than fully operating a heavy-asset fleet. Tapping into external resources is the optimal path for rapid Robotaxi rollout. Ref. 17
China’s robotics prowess is undeniable in motion control, a product of deep industrial accumulation. Top Chinese robotics labs, however, focus more on reinforcement learning within closed-set environments than general AI. The latter presents a tougher challenge for breakthroughs, exemplified by the gap between Seedance2 and Genie3. Ref. 18
$META is integrating Manus agents directly into its messaging and social platforms, signifying a strategic move to “own the surface” where AI agents operate. Ref. 19
Japanese stocks #5333 and TOTO (#5332), both in niche areas like electrostatic chucks, high-performance ceramics, and grid infrastructure components, are showing compelling technical chart patterns. I’m just flagging the opportunity. Ref. 20
Murata Manufacturing (#6981), a key MLCC supplier for data centers, shows a technical chart poised for a breakout. Seeing a recurring pattern of Japanese stocks at similar breakout thresholds. Ref. 21
If Mr. Beast expands his disruptive success from Feastables into the financial world, $HOOD should be on alert. Vlad Tenev previously disrupted established players like Schwab and Fidelity, suggesting that even disruptors can face new challengers. Ref. 22
Buy-side analysts are exhibiting an aggressive trend with their numbers, proposing ranges that are unexpectedly high. Ref. 23