Apparel Retail: A stark divergence persists among top apparel retailers. $LULU languishes near a 6-year low, while peers like $TJX, $ROST, and $BURL command all-time highs (ATHs) or near-ATHs. 1
Corporate Turnaround:$BUD has surged to a fresh 6-year high. This rally signals a successful management turnaround, overcoming previous “woke” controversies. 2
Bearish Signals: A ‘Bearish Pennant’ has appeared, pointing to an imminent market rollover. 3
Hit-and-Run Dynamics: The 2026 market is defined by “hit and run” moves. Avoid FOMO; aggressive runs (e.g., 20%) often see a 5-10% pullback within days. 4
BTC Bear Trend:$BTC’s bear trend is strengthening, evidenced by rising volatility. Quants use volatility spikes to detect trend shifts; $BTC entered its bear market on such a spike, with continued volatility confirming the trend. 5
Supply Aggression:Samsung and SK Hynix are scrapping supply discipline, accelerating production. SK Hynix’s Yongin Fab 1 starts trial production Feb–Mar next year (6x M15X scale), and Samsung pulls P4 completion to Q4 this year, aiming for 100K–120K HBM4 wafers/month. This aggressive push counters a deepening supply-demand imbalance in the “semiconductor super cycle.” 6, 7
Memory Interface Advantage: While market focus is on GPUs, cooling, and power, capital is quietly shifting to memory interface chips. Companies like $RMBS are securing a critical layer in AI infrastructure, suggesting steady valuation growth. 8
Nvidia’s Accelerating Cadence:$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang confirms new, unprecedented chips for GTC 2026, signaling an accelerating product cadence beyond Blackwell and Rubin. 9, 10
Global AI Factory Expansion: India’s Yotta is building a $2B+ AI compute hub, leveraging $NVDA Blackwell Ultra via a $1B+ 4-year DGX Cloud deal. This APAC-based AI factory, launching by August, extends Nvidia’s footprint beyond U.S. hyperscalers. 11
Cadence’s AI Drive:Cadence (Q4 2025) saw revenue up 8% q/q (6% y/y) to $1.44B, with impressive 88.5% GM and 45.8% OPM, largely “driven by AI”. FY25 revenue grew 14% y/y to $5.3B, with QMar guided to $1.42B-$1.46B. IP revenue (up 13% q/q) is projected to outgrow the corporate average for a third year. 12
Google’s AI Infrastructure Play:$GOOGL is deploying $15B over five years to bolster AI infrastructure in India and its global data backbone, including new subsea fiber routes connecting India, the U.S., and the Southern Hemisphere. 13
SaaSpocalypse 2026: Legacy SaaS is slated for repricing as it transitions into “plumbing” layers. 14
Palantir Investment Thesis: Mizuho upgrades $PLTR to Outperform with a $195 price target. Palantir is deemed a category leader, building the critical “decision layer” between AI models and enterprise data, justifying ownership despite market aversion to multiples in risk-off tapes. 15
Position Sizing: A position is too large if it induces nervousness, hourly checking, or if a single red day derails the week. Sizing positions to absorb losses is critical for portfolio longevity. 17