💡 Investment Philosophy & Sector Outlook

• Warren Buffett’s latest Berkshire portfolio shows virtually zero exposure to the AI infrastructure buildout, signaling a distinct investment stance 1.
• Investors fretting over an AI bubble often lack a deeper understanding of the sector. Investment mirrors cognition; fixating solely on PE ratios and valuation concerns means missing out on top-tier growth plays 4.

📈 Market Sentiment & Technical Insights

• ARKK needs to dig in here; failure indicates a problem for market risk appetite 3.
• Nine consecutive down days often precede a rebound 5.
• VIX dipped post-expiration. No end-of-day rebound means fear has drained; a rebound implies adding puts 8.
• $HOOD is eyeing a death cross, a technical signal not seen since Oct 2023. Monitor the reaction 9.
• $GOOGL is hinting at a reversal off its 100-day moving average 10.

🌍 Macro & Commodity Deep Dive

• The US faces a severe cattle shortage, with inventory at ~85 million, the lowest since 1951. The herd has shrunk by ~45 million from the 1975 peak and ~10 million since 2020, setting up higher beef and veal prices 6.
• Spot gold ripped above $5,000/oz and silver surged past $78/oz, driven by escalating US-Iran tensions 7.

🚨 Trading Strategy & Risk Management

• An expensive lesson: avoid meme stocks after significant personal losses 2.

🧠 Market Psychology Observations

• The sudden surge in retail trading activity suggests possible irrational exuberance, or perhaps investors are feeling flush 11.