📈 Technical Analysis / Market Observations

$DE today flashed a gorgeous PEG candle. 1
$MU and $SNDK show consolidation; a breakout looks imminent. 2
$MSFT needs a bounce. The chart signals “lfg,” even a dead cat bounce would suffice. 3
$IAG exhibits strong relative strength. While $GLD pulled back to its 20 day MA, $IAG holds near highs. Any $GLD strength will see $IAG lift off. 5
$MU, an IBD Top 50 leader, surged since its mid-December PEG candle and AI catalyst. Currently digesting at the 20 day EMA, it printed an INSIDE DAY, signalling an imminent breakout. 7
$NVDA has been stuck in a narrow +/- 25% range since July 2025. Anticipate a breakout post-Earnings next Wednesday. 16
$SPX has consistently filled daily gaps since Dec 19th 2025, with recent exceptions. 18
$WMT has logged 4 consecutive down days, a -11% peak-to-trough drop. A 50dma test is approaching; a bounce swing trade could be in play. 19
$INTC is down 21% from its $55ish highs, now sitting at the 50dma. This looks like a potential entry. 20
$QQQ shows a pattern of alternating green/red days over the last 9 days. 21
$VIX has shown significant Friday declines in the last three Fridays: -11%, -16%, -20%. 22

💾 Semiconductor & AI Supply Chain

LPDDR6 adoption is accelerating beyond initial expectations. Robust AI and HPC demand drives this trend. 6
Samsung is likely the exclusive HBM4 supplier for NVIDIA’s next-gen “Vera Rubin” AI GPU. 8
The DRAM shortage will persist through H1 2027, with a sharp price correction slated for 2028. (Gartner) 10
SK Hynix forecasts memory prices will climb throughout the year. Strong AI customer demand and tight supply underpin this outlook. 13

$BTC trades near 3-year lows relative to $GLD, and 2-year lows against $SPY and $QQQ. A snap-back is anticipated. 11
Historically, $BTC dropped 52% over 4ish months after breaching its 50wma. The current ATH $126k to $60k lows drawdown sits at -52%. 14
Peter Schiff’s $BTC to $20k call is challenged. The ultimate low, if reached, is seen around $49-$52k. 15

Mega-cap underperformance against the S&P 500 (ROC near -1.37%) signals later stages of rotation, not the beginning. 4
Big tech CAPEX cannot grow forever. While hyperscalers currently invest nearly $670B, ROI pressure will eventually decelerate, then decline, growth rates. 12
Achieving 20% GDP is a make-or-break target. 17

Perplexity Finance outperforms Google Finance. The AI battle in fintech is heating up. 9