💡 AI’s Sector Shake-Up

  • Claude’s “Claude Code Security” launch torpedoed $CRWD, erasing -$20 billion in market cap within two trading days. This marks AI’s swift disruptive power. 引用[9]
  • $IBM stock got hammered over -10%, its worst day since October 2000, after Anthropic announced Claude can streamline COBOL code. This feels like the pivotal moment AI turns dystopian for many. 引用[12]引用[17]
  • Anthropic is laser-focused on new trillion-dollar industries daily. Each Claude-based AI tool emergence wipes out $100B+ market cap in targeted sectors. This disruption is unfolding in real-time. 引用[14]
  • Dystopian sentiment is rising in AI discourse. Fed Gov Waller highlights AI’s rapid pace, making job displacement evident before new job creation. 引用[15]

⛏️ Metals & Mining Bullish Outlook

  • The era of cheap metals is over. Miners remain undervalued, with consensus price forecasts too pessimistic, failing to reflect this paradigm shift. 引用[4]
  • Gold equities are fundamentally mispriced, not yet accounting for the operating leverage from current metal prices. Take $SNWGF: a $2.1B market cap against 8.8M oz of gold resource, with gold at $5,200/oz, signals massive upside. 引用[11]
  • All capital flows lead to metals. 引用[6]
  • India’s gold imports continue at record levels, underscoring robust demand. 引用[18]

🏛️ Macro Headwinds & Financial Stability

  • Foreign ownership of US financial assets hit a record $64.1 trillion in Q3 2025, a +13.6% YoY surge, doubling since 2018 with a +9.3% CAGR from 2015. 引用[1]
  • The US debt crisis is worsening. Federal spending on elderly programs reached a record 9.4% of GDP, a +56% jump from the late 1980s’ 6.0%, projected to hit 11.3% of GDP in a decade. 引用[2]
  • The Current Population Survey response rate plummeted to ~64%, an all-time low. This raises red flags for the reliability of US Labor Department’s unemployment and other key economic metrics. 引用[5]
  • Demand for the Fed’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF) ballooned to +$30.5 billion, marking the 4th-largest operation since the 2020 pandemic. This signals a growing need for liquidity support. 引用[10]

🏠 US Housing Market Chill

  • US housing supply is going sideways. New building permits for homes fell -3.6% YoY to 1.42 million in 2025, the lowest since 2019, down ~19% from the 2021 peak. 引用[3]

🎢 Market Volatility & Sentiment

  • Trade war jitters are back, fueling market chop. 引用[7]
  • Beneath the surface, market volatility is historically high. The S&P 500 average stock’s 1-month realized volatility relative to the index spiked to 24 points, an all-time high, indicating individual names are seeing wilder price swings. 引用[8]
  • The market has shown incredible resilience to real negative news, yet a “literal work of fiction” sent it into a tailspin. 引用[13]
  • US stocks shed nearly -$800 billion in market cap as AI disruption fears intensify alongside trade war headlines. 引用[16]