đź”® Market Outlook & Strategy

  • $HIMS shows extreme weakness, poised to be down 18 of the last 20 days and 19 of the last 20 weeks. The stock has almost returned to its $10 SPAC price 1.
  • Markets likely to stabilize until $NVDA reports. Recent “AI scare” slashed many names; expect a near-term dead cat bounce to calm things 6.
  • $IBM saw a deep cut, down 30% in less than a month, erasing all 2025 gains. This velocity rivals the 2020 Covid crash 7.
  • The market theme shifts: 2023-2025 was AI bullish, 2026 might be AI bearish 8.
  • Jamie Dimon notes $JPM’s LLM is used by 150K employees weekly, but productivity gains aren’t cleanly reflected in near-term financials. He’s cautious on the economy due to geopolitical, fiscal, and trade uncertainties 14.

🤖 AI & Tech Sector Dynamics

  • Anthropic emerges as the new “big short” for U.S. software stocks, especially with its upcoming Claude AI assistant demo and new product launch 3.
  • In the AI wave, $PLTR and Tesla are critical stocks, warranting increasing position allocation 10.
  • $PLTR’s Rule of 40 score, at 127% (revenue growth + free cash flow margin), is exceptional, dwarfing Microsoft’s 65% and CrowdStrike’s figures in the SaaS space 11.
  • $IREN is pivoting from a pure power/data center owner to monetizing AI compute by converting Bitcoin Cash sites to GPUs and advancing its 1.4GW substation for grid interconnection 9.
  • $AMD secures a massive multi-year deal with $META for up to 6GW of Instinct GPUs, including custom MI450 and “Venice” EPYC, with performance warrants tied to delivery. This deal tackles $AMD’s long-standing credibility problem regarding scale delivery and software stack support for hyperscalers 12.

🌍 Macroeconomic & Industry Shifts

  • “Creative destruction” is a fundamental principle of human societal development. Technological shifts demolish old structures but free up resources for new equilibrium. AI will similarly free up “hands and minds,” redirecting humans toward higher-value, emotional activities 2.
  • Research quality demands originality. Merely rehashing reports without verifying data parameters (e.g., confusing per capita housing area with carpet area, or protein “supply” versus “intake”) is problematic 4.
  • Taiwan-sourced rumors require careful discernment, needing at least a “half-filter” due to their tendency to spread similar narratives 5.
  • $AAPL plans to source over 100M advanced chips from $TSM’s Arizona facility. This signifies a larger trend toward U.S.-based semiconductor manufacturing 13.